长安汽车(000625)季报点评：新能源销量强劲改善毛利率 推进机器人等智能化布局

Core Insights - The company reported a steady increase in revenue and improved operational profit indicators for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 114.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.58% [1] - The company is experiencing a significant reduction in losses from its self-branded new energy vehicles, with sales volume increasing by 59.7% year-on-year [1] - The company is expanding its global presence, with overseas sales growing by 10.7% year-on-year, particularly in Latin America and Southeast Asia [2] - The company is actively pursuing a strategy in intelligent technology, including the development of humanoid robots and flying cars [3][4] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.055 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.66% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 20.08% to 2.018 billion yuan [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 14.99%, up 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 42.236 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.36% [1] New Energy Vehicle Performance - The company’s self-branded new energy vehicle sales reached 724,000 units in the first three quarters of 2025, with significant contributions from the "Qiyuan" and "Deep Blue" brands [1] - The "Qiyuan" brand saw sales of 69,000, 100,000, and 107,000 units in Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively, with a notable reduction in losses [1] - The "Deep Blue" brand also showed improvement, with sales of 66,000, 68,000, and 81,000 units in the same quarters [1] Global Expansion - The company’s overseas sales reached 465,000 units in the first three quarters of 2025, with growth exceeding 50% in regions like Latin America and Southeast Asia [2] - In Southeast Asia, the company is promoting the "Avita" brand, while in Latin America, it has successfully launched models in Mexico and entered new markets like Cuba [2] - The company has established a dealer network in Europe, with 94 points of sale and openings in countries like Norway and Greece [2] Intelligent Technology Strategy - The company plans to release a prototype humanoid robot in 2026 and aims for mass production by 2028 [3] - In the area of intelligent driving, the company is pursuing a dual strategy of self-research and collaboration, particularly with Huawei [3] - The company is also planning the first flight of a flying car by the end of 2025 and aims for a fully self-developed unmanned logistics vehicle by 2027 [3][4] Profit Forecast - Due to intense price competition in the automotive industry, the company has adjusted its profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 165.502 billion yuan, 185.087 billion yuan, and 206.065 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [4] - The expected net profits for the same period are projected to be 6.099 billion yuan, 8.475 billion yuan, and 10.688 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of -17%, +39%, and +26% respectively [4]