劲仔食品(003000)2025年三季报业绩点评：营收增速回正 盈利能力环比改善

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.81 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 170 million yuan, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 680 million yuan, up 6.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of 60 million yuan, down 14.8% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The core product categories showed stable growth, with Q3 2025 revenue growth turning positive, driven by enhanced fish product displays and the introduction of new products like konjac-based dishes [1] - The company benefited from the growth in bulk sales channels, increasing the number of SKUs in snack retail [1] Cost and Margin Insights - In Q3 2025, the net profit margin was 8.9%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year but improved by 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 28.9%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to channel structure impacts [1] - Selling expense ratio increased to 13.8%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased advertising investments [1] Future Outlook - The company expects continued improvement in Q4 2025, with sustained momentum in fish products and new konjac-based offerings [2] - There is potential for further collaboration in the snack retail channel, with opportunities for larger packaging to create more consumption scenarios [2] - Long-term strategies focus on channel development and continuous innovation in healthy products, which are anticipated to drive revenue growth [2] Investment Projections - Projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 240 million, 290 million, and 340 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -18%, +22%, and +15% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 18, and 16 times [2]