猪价马上重回6元？

Core Viewpoint - The pork prices in China are showing signs of recovery as the month of October comes to an end, with the current price of live pigs reaching 11.89 yuan/kg, indicating a potential return to 12 yuan/kg soon [2][9]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Pork Prices - The demand for large pigs is increasing due to a shortage in supply, despite an overall adequate supply of pigs [4][9]. - The seasonal drop in temperature has led to a surge in meat consumption, particularly for pork, as it becomes a more cost-effective option compared to beef and lamb [4][5]. - The market sentiment has improved as fears of falling prices have diminished, contributing to a more stable pricing environment [6][9]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current upward trend in pork prices is primarily driven by the demand for large pigs and the active participation of secondary fattening operations, which have temporarily reduced supply [9]. - Although there is a potential for prices to stabilize and gradually increase, the overall supply pressure remains due to the expected high number of pigs to be marketed in the fourth quarter [9][11]. - The lowest point for pork prices appears to have passed, with expectations for a stable market as the traditional consumption peak approaches in the fourth quarter [11].