高天伟：朱雀三号首飞在即，马斯克点赞中国火箭有何深意？

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk commented on China's Zhuque-3 rocket, suggesting it resembles SpaceX's Falcon 9 but incorporates advanced designs from the Starship, indicating potential for future superiority over Falcon 9. However, he noted that Zhuque-3 would require approximately five more years to reach Falcon 9's current maturity, while Starship would already be in extensive use by then. He emphasized the necessity of continuous innovation to remain competitive [1]. Group 1: Zhuque-3 Overview - Zhuque-3 is China's most advanced reusable rocket, developed by Landspace in 2023, aimed at large-scale satellite internet constellation deployment. The rocket is expected to conduct its maiden flight within the year and attempt to recover its first stage [5][7]. - The current version of Zhuque-3 measures 66 meters in length, with a diameter of 4.5 meters and a payload capacity of 11 tons to orbit. Future iterations will extend to 76 meters, increasing payload capacity to over 20 tons, allowing deployment of multiple internet satellites. The target cost is under 20,000 RMB per kilogram, approximately 60% of Falcon 9's current cost [5][7]. Group 2: Technical Developments - In October, Zhuque-3 was showcased at the Dongfeng Commercial Space Innovation Test Area, completing pre-flight quality checks, including fuel loading and engine tests, with positive results. The rocket is now prepared for its flight mission [7][9]. - Zhuque-3 is currently the most prepared domestic reusable rocket for its maiden flight, with other rockets like Tianlong-3 and Long March 12 also targeting their first flights within the year, most of which possess reusable capabilities [9][11]. Group 3: Design Comparisons - Zhuque-3 shares design similarities with Falcon 9, such as the use of nine engines in parallel and landing leg configurations, which is a result of market and technical definitions. However, it is characterized as a distinctly Chinese solution [12]. - SpaceX's Falcon 9 represents the pinnacle of current aerospace technology and commercial integration, achieving an optimal balance of time, cost, and service quality, which is recognized globally [14][15].