Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing fluctuations due to a combination of optimistic trade sentiments and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with recent data indicating a significant drop from record highs [1][3][4]. Market Analysis - As of October 27, gold is priced at $4,078.36 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.56% from previous levels, with a year-to-date increase of 55% largely driven by trade tensions [1]. - The recent drop in gold prices, over 6% from last week's record high of $4,381.21, indicates market sensitivity to trade negotiations and potential tariff changes [1][4]. - The upcoming deadline for additional tariffs on Chinese imports adds uncertainty, which could reignite gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1][4]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September rose by 3.0%, slightly below expectations, reinforcing market speculation for a near-certain interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3]. - The likelihood of a rate cut to a range of 3.75%-4.00% is nearly 100%, with high probabilities for further cuts in December and January [3]. Technical Analysis - Recent price movements show gold testing support levels around $4,040, with potential resistance at $4,140-$4,165 [5][6]. - The current technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, with the price below key moving averages, indicating a need for careful monitoring of support levels [5][6]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to watch key support levels at $4,040 and $4,000, with potential strategies to short if these levels are breached [8]. - The market remains volatile, and traders should be prepared to adjust strategies based on real-time developments and price movements [8].
秦氏金升：10.27伦敦金周初看震荡，黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-27 03:02