Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities projects that Xiaomi Group's revenue in Q3 2025 will increase by 23% year-on-year to 113.4 billion yuan, driven by its automotive business, with a Non-GAAP net profit expected to grow by 63% year-on-year to 10.17 billion yuan [1] Revenue and Profit Projections - The automotive segment is expected to contribute approximately 28.6 billion yuan in revenue from an estimated shipment of 109,000 vehicles in Q3 2025 [1] - The gross margin for the automotive business is anticipated to remain above 26% as delivery volumes increase [1] Delivery and Production Insights - Xiaomi's vehicle deliveries surpassed 40,000 units in September, indicating a positive trend in production capacity and delivery ramp-up [1] - The continuous improvement in production capacity is expected to enhance profitability levels [1] Valuation and Investment Rating - Based on the Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, Huatai Securities maintains a target price of 65.4 HKD for Xiaomi, corresponding to a 2026 price-to-earnings ratio of 30.08 times [1] - The investment rating remains at "Buy" [1]
研报掘金丨华泰证券:预计小米第三季Non-GAAP净利润按年有望增长63% 维持“买入”评级