小米股价跌超4%

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock price has shown weakness, dropping over 4% to a new low since April 2023, amid expectations of slightly lower-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings due to smartphone gross margins and IoT revenue underperformance [2][3] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - Citigroup forecasts Xiaomi's adjusted net profit for Q3 to reach 10.2 billion RMB, reflecting a 64% year-on-year increase but a 5% quarter-on-quarter decrease, impacted by unfavorable regional smartphone gross margins and rising memory product prices [2] - Huatai Securities shares a similar outlook, expecting Xiaomi's automotive business to break even in Q3, while maintaining an 11% gross margin for the smartphone segment despite rising memory costs [3] - CICC predicts a more optimistic scenario, estimating a 21.46% year-on-year revenue growth for Q3, reaching 112.36 billion RMB, with an adjusted net profit of 10.56 billion RMB, including profits from automotive and innovative businesses [3] Group 2: Automotive Business Performance - CICC anticipates that Xiaomi will deliver 109,000 vehicles in Q3, generating 29.43 billion RMB in revenue, driven by increased deliveries of the YU7 model and a rising average selling price [4] - Both Citigroup and Huatai Securities express cautious optimism regarding Xiaomi's automotive business, with expectations of profitability in Q3 and improved earnings as production capacity increases [2][3]