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南钢股份(600282)2025年三季报点评:高端产品发力 扣非利润创新高

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, but a significant increase in net profit, indicating a potential shift towards higher-margin products and operational efficiency [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 43.283 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.19%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.176 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.12%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.815 billion, up 15.74% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 14.339 billion, down 8.16% year-on-year and 1.73% quarter-on-quarter. Net profit was 0.713 billion, up 37.12% year-on-year but down 19.37% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.666 billion, an increase of 20.73% year-on-year and 2.42% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Sales and Margins - Steel sales volume remained stable quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 sales at 2.3624 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.40% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 9.36% year-on-year. The sales of various steel products showed mixed results, with some products experiencing growth while others saw declines [2]. - The gross margin continued to grow, reaching 15.07% in Q3 2025, an increase of 1.60 percentage points year-on-year and 0.55 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, marking the highest level since Q3 2019 [2]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on high-end products to drive quality growth, with significant advancements in critical material fields. Notable achievements include supplying high-strength steel for major projects and increasing the share of advanced steel materials in total sales [3]. - Digital transformation initiatives are expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs, with improvements in production processes and resource matching across the supply chain [3]. - The company has made significant strides in extending its industrial chain, with new production capacities and successful operations of facilities in Indonesia, which are anticipated to yield scale benefits [4]. Profit Forecast - The company is actively optimizing its product mix and enhancing its upstream industrial chain layout. Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.826 billion, 3.092 billion, and 3.452 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11x, 10x, and 9x [4].