劲仔食品(003000)2025年三季报点评：深化渠道建设 期待新品表现

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, but a significant decline in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.05%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 173 million yuan, a decrease of 19.51% [1]. - In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 685 million yuan, up 6.55% year-on-year, but net profit fell to 61 million yuan, down 14.77% [1]. Product and Channel Strategy - The company accelerated new product launches and strengthened channel development, with significant contributions from fish products and snack wholesale channels [2]. - New products such as sesame sauce tripe and marinated tofu were introduced, aiming to leverage market opportunities and enhance product distribution speed [2]. - The company is focusing on improving its presence in the snack wholesale channel and has seen steady growth in overseas markets, although e-commerce channels are currently undergoing adjustments due to declining traffic [2]. Cost and Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 29.25%, slightly decreasing to 28.93% in Q3, primarily due to rising raw material costs [3]. - The company maintained a sales expense ratio of 13.81% for Q1-Q3 2025, with a slight increase in Q3, reflecting investments in brand building and channel development [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 9.56%, decreasing to 8.89% in Q3, but showing improvement compared to Q2 due to enhanced efficiency in expense usage and scale effects [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.56, 0.67, and 0.80 yuan respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 21, 18, and 15 times [4]. - The company's product strategy is clear, and it is actively expanding through multiple channels, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].