滕泰：资本市场牛市有望成为提振消费的放大器

Core Viewpoint - The capital market is expected to play a crucial role in achieving China's economic development goals during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on technology advancement, wealth accumulation, private investment stimulation, consumption enhancement, and social welfare improvement. Group 1: Role of Capital Market in Economic Development - The capital market should support the development of a modern industrial system and technological advancements, with a target of maintaining over 50% annual growth in AI computing power investments during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] - A long-term bull market could lead to a rapid increase in residents' property income, potentially allowing the middle-income group to exceed 400 million people, thus becoming a significant reservoir of wealth [1] Group 2: Stimulating Private Investment - A sustained bull market can act as an accelerator for private investment, as higher market valuations increase companies' willingness to invest, contrasting with the low investment levels seen during previous market downturns [2] Group 3: Enhancing Consumption and Domestic Demand - The capital market is expected to contribute to the construction of a unified market and the expansion of domestic demand, with stock market growth leading to increased consumer spending, potentially adding several trillion yuan to consumption by 2030 [2] Group 4: Improving Social Welfare - The capital market's support is essential for enhancing social welfare, with a goal to increase the proportion of social security spending to GDP from under 10% to 15%-20% during the "15th Five-Year Plan," relying on better investment returns from social security funds [2]