Global Markets React to Trade Truce, Geopolitical Tensions, and Key Earnings

Trade Relations - The United States and China have reached a tentative framework agreement, avoiding a planned 100% tariff increase on Chinese imports [2][8] - China has agreed to delay its new rare earth export licensing regime for one year, which is expected to stabilize trade tensions and may lead to increased purchases of U.S. soybeans by China [2][8] Raw Material Dependency - Germany's VDMA has warned about the risks of dependency on Chinese rare earth supplies, emphasizing the need for Europe to become more self-sufficient in critical raw materials [3][8] - China controls approximately 90% of global rare earth processing capacity, posing significant risks to industries such as the German automotive sector, which sources 80% of its permanent magnets from China [3] Geopolitical Developments - Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has requested long-range weapons from the U.S., similar to Tomahawk missiles, to aid in ceasefire negotiations with Russia [4][8] - Ukraine is also developing its own long-range capabilities, extending up to 3,000 km [4][8] Economic Outlook - Moody's Ratings has affirmed Japan's A1 long-term ratings, citing resilient domestic demand that is expected to mitigate negative impacts from global trade shifts [5] Market Performance - Spain's IBEX 35 index has surpassed its 2007 record closing high, currently trading at 15,226 points, driven by strong performance in the banking sector [6][8] Corporate Earnings - Keurig Dr Pepper reported Q3 2025 earnings with adjusted EPS of $0.54 and revenue of $4.3 billion, exceeding analyst expectations and prompting an increase in full-year net sales outlook [7][8] - Carter's reported Q3 adjusted net income of $26.8 million, significantly above estimates, with an adjusted EPS of $0.74 [7] - J.P. Morgan raised its target price for Apple Inc. to $290.00 from $280.00 [7]