“反内卷”号角持续,钢铁板块崛起!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-27 12:05

Core Insights - The steel sector is experiencing a notable rise amidst a backdrop of technology stocks, with companies like Changbao Co., New China Chutian, and others showing significant stock price increases [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has released a draft for the "Implementation Measures for Capacity Replacement in the Steel Industry," which prohibits the addition of new steel production capacity in key regions [2] - The "Steel Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" emphasizes continued production reduction policies to promote a balance between supply and demand in the steel market [2][3] Industry Overview - The steel industry is undergoing structural transformation against the backdrop of "dual carbon" goals and domestic economic transition [3] - Analysts predict a marginal improvement in the steel sector by 2025, driven by reduced demand drag, declining costs, and supportive policies aimed at low-carbon transformation [4] - The overall supply-demand situation in the steel industry is expected to remain stable, with potential for investment value to emerge as the market conditions improve [4] Company Performance - Shandong Steel reported Q3 2025 revenues of 18.022 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.74%, but achieved a net profit of 127 million, marking a return to profitability [5] - Bayi Steel achieved Q3 2025 revenues of 5.884 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.78%, also returning to profitability with a net profit of 125 million [6] - The "anti-involution" policies in the steel industry are leading to a contraction in supply and optimization of costs, contributing to a rebound in overall industry profitability [6]