猪价已经涨起来了，蛋价啥时候涨？

Core Insights - The prices of live pigs and eggs have both declined significantly during the recent holiday season, with pig prices hitting a four-year low and egg prices reaching near multi-year lows [2] - Pig prices have started to rise again, potentially returning to the 6 yuan per kilogram range, while egg prices remain stagnant, struggling to break through the 3 yuan per kilogram mark [2][4] Group 1: Pig Market Dynamics - The recent increase in pig prices is driven by several factors, including seasonal demand due to colder weather and upcoming traditional food preparations in southern and northern China [4] - After experiencing a price drop, pig farmers are showing a tendency to buy back into the market, contributing to the price recovery [4] - The growth cycle of pigs and the second fattening phase provide more time for market adjustments compared to the shorter egg production cycle [6] Group 2: Egg Market Challenges - Despite a slight increase in egg prices, the overall market remains under pressure due to high production capacity and slow culling rates among egg-laying hens [6][8] - The upcoming Double Eleven shopping festival is expected to have limited impact on egg sales, leading to a prolonged period of low demand post-festival [4][8] - The short production cycle of eggs means that any lack of downstream consumption quickly translates into price pressure, exacerbated by the presence of unsold inventory in cold storage [8]