今晚调整!油价或跌回“6元时代”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-27 13:46

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to decrease in the upcoming adjustment window, with the price of 92 gasoline in Chongqing potentially returning to the "6 yuan era" due to a negative change rate in international crude oil prices [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The reference crude oil change rate as of October 24 is -6.09%, leading to an expected reduction of 265 yuan per ton for gasoline and 255 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to a decrease of 0.21 yuan for 92 gasoline, 0.22 yuan for 95 gasoline, and 0.22 yuan for diesel per liter [1]. - This will mark the ninth price reduction of the year, with a full tank (50L) for private cars costing approximately 10.5 yuan less after the adjustment [1]. Group 2: Impact on Transportation Costs - For a private car running 2000 kilometers per month with an average fuel consumption of 8L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost is expected to decrease by around 16 yuan before the next price adjustment window [1]. - For heavy trucks running 10,000 kilometers per month with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost will decrease by approximately 390 yuan before the next adjustment window [1]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Following the recent price drop, the cost of commuting and travel for the public has further decreased, with several gas stations in Chongqing offering discounts on gasoline [2]. - Despite the support from international crude oil prices, there are concerns about oversupply and rising U.S. oil production, which could negatively impact the market [2]. - The expectation for a potential price increase in the next adjustment window is based on a recalculated positive change rate for crude oil, with an anticipated adjustment of 230 yuan per ton [2].