Workflow
不要被SWIFT骗了!国际支付:欧元22.77%,英镑7.38%,人民币呢?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-27 15:01

Core Viewpoint - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is progressing steadily, and its global influence is underestimated when solely relying on SWIFT payment rankings [3][6][10]. Group 1: RMB's Global Payment Position - The SWIFT ranking places RMB fifth in global payments, leading to skepticism about its international influence [3]. - SWIFT's statistics include all payments processed through its system, which may not accurately reflect RMB's usage since many domestic transactions do not go through SWIFT [6]. - The establishment of CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System) allows for significant RMB transactions that are not captured in SWIFT's data, indicating a more substantial global presence than suggested by rankings [6][12]. Group 2: RMB in Trade and Investment - Many countries along the Belt and Road Initiative are increasingly using RMB for direct trade settlements, reducing reliance on USD and EUR [8]. - As of mid-2025, foreign holdings of RMB assets exceeded 10 trillion, demonstrating strong international demand for RMB-denominated bonds and stocks [8][10]. - RMB's share in global trade financing reached over 7% by September 2025, second only to USD, highlighting its growing acceptance in international trade [12]. Group 3: RMB's Role in Global Financial Stability - Since 2016, RMB has been included in the IMF's SDR basket, signifying its status alongside major currencies like USD and EUR [10]. - In times of global financial instability, RMB has emerged as a safe-haven asset, with many central banks entering into currency swap agreements with China [10][14]. - The trend of "de-dollarization" globally is creating opportunities for RMB to gain further traction as an alternative currency [14]. Group 4: Future Outlook for RMB Internationalization - The internationalization of RMB is a gradual process, with its global payment share increasing from less than 1% in 2011 to a more significant figure today [12][14]. - The development of CIPS enhances the speed and security of RMB transactions, attracting more countries to adopt RMB for settlements [14]. - The future of RMB internationalization is promising, contingent on China's economic stability and ongoing financial reforms [14][16].