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10月27日下午两点半,股债齐涨把握配置机会,加减仓提醒
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-27 16:46

Core Viewpoint - The capital market experienced a rare phenomenon where both the stock market and bond market rose simultaneously, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 4000-point mark while the 10-year government bond yield fell to 1.833% [1][35] Market Performance - The A-share indices all opened higher, with the ChiNext Index rising over 2% at one point [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a high of 3998 points, just shy of the 4000-point threshold [9][35] - The trading volume in the stock market increased, with a total turnover exceeding 800 billion yuan, up 10% from the previous day [19] Bond Market Dynamics - The central bank conducted a 900 billion yuan MLF operation, resulting in a net injection of 200 billion yuan, marking the third consecutive week of large-scale liquidity provision [3] - The 10-year government bond yield fell by 1 basis point, while the futures market showed strong performance with the main contract rising by 0.08% [35] - The bond market displayed a mixed performance, with high-grade credit spreads narrowing while low-grade credit spreads remained elevated, indicating a cautious risk appetite [11][22] Investor Behavior - Insurance funds increased their allocation to government bonds, with one large insurance asset management company purchasing 10-year government bonds around 2.85% [7] - There was a notable divergence in institutional behavior, with broker proprietary accounts being net buyers while bank wealth management accounts were net sellers [5][20] - Foreign capital continued to flow into the A-share market, with net inflows exceeding 5 billion yuan for the fifth consecutive trading day, totaling over 20 billion yuan [13] Credit Market Insights - The primary market for credit bonds remained active, with three credit bonds issued today totaling 5 billion yuan, and one AAA-rated central enterprise bond issued at a rate 10 basis points lower than the secondary market [15] - The credit bond market showed significant differentiation, with high-grade credit bonds seeing increased demand while low-grade bonds faced selling pressure [31][26] Economic Outlook - Market analysts suggest that the current bond yield levels reflect many favorable factors, and further declines in yields may require new catalysts [13] - The upcoming economic data, including a potential rise in the manufacturing PMI to 49.5, may exert some pressure on the bond market, although current market performance appears to have absorbed this factor [29]