今年油价新低，10月迎两连跌，油价两连跌是陷阱还是馅饼？

Core Viewpoint - Domestic fuel prices are set to experience the largest drop of the year, with 92-octane gasoline expected to decrease by 0.24 CNY per liter, bringing the national average below 6.8 CNY for the first time in four years [1][3]. Price Changes - The current average price of 92-octane gasoline is around 7.04 CNY per liter, and after the price adjustment, it will no longer be in the "yuan era" [3]. - Compared to the beginning of the year when prices were over 8 CNY, filling a tank now saves over 60 CNY, equivalent to the cost of two cups of milk tea [3]. - The price difference for 98-octane gasoline varies significantly across regions, with prices in Guangdong at 9.66 CNY and in Gansu at 8.09 CNY, a difference of 1.5 CNY [5]. International Oil Prices - Despite a 7% rebound in international oil prices this week, domestic prices continue to decline, with the current adjustment expected to reach a drop of 290 CNY per ton, totaling a decline of 670 CNY per ton for the year [3][5]. - Brent crude oil has recently reached 65.94 USD per barrel, indicating a disparity between domestic and international pricing mechanisms [5]. Market Dynamics - The current domestic fuel pricing reflects the average international prices from two weeks prior, highlighting a lag in the domestic pricing mechanism [5]. - Transportation costs contribute significantly to regional price differences, with diesel in Tibet priced at 7.25 CNY per liter, nearly 1 CNY higher than in Shandong [5]. Future Outlook - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of low fuel prices, especially with rising geopolitical risks that could affect oil exports and potentially increase international crude prices [5][6]. - The current low prices may not last long, prompting speculation about how long the 6 CNY range will be maintained [6].