How Should You Play OppFi Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release?

Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, with revenue expectations of $152.6 million, reflecting an 11.7% year-over-year growth, while earnings per share are projected to decline by 6.1% to 31 cents [1][9] Financial Performance - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 54.4% [2] - Current earnings expectations indicate a low chance of an earnings beat, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - OppFi's customer-first strategy is expected to drive revenue growth, supported by AI and machine learning models, which have improved the loan auto approval rate to 80% from 76% year-over-year [5][6] - The company reported a Net Promoter Score of 79, indicating strong customer satisfaction and the effectiveness of its customer-driven approach [6] Stock Performance - OppFi's stock has surged 88.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 composite, which rose by 18.9% [7][9] - The stock is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 6.93, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.58 and its peers FirstCash (16.26) and Corpay (11.97) [11] Risk Management - OppFi has shown effective risk mitigation strategies, with a notable decline in its Net Charge-Off rate, which dropped by 400 basis points year-over-year in Q4 2024 and further declines in the first two quarters of 2025 [14][15] - The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 1.72, above the industry average of 1.17, indicating its capability to cover short-term obligations [16] Conclusion - The company's customer-first strategy and risk management initiatives are expected to support revenue growth, although the outlook for earnings remains less favorable [18] - Investors are advised to monitor the stock closely for potential entry points, given the challenges ahead of the earnings release [19]