Republic Services(US:RSG) ZACKS·2025-10-27 19:06Core Insights - Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is set to release its third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, after market close, with a strong earnings surprise history, averaging an 8% surprise over the last four quarters [1]. Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RSG's revenues is $4.3 billion, reflecting a 4.5% increase from the same quarter last year, driven by an effective pricing strategy that outpaces cost inflation [2]. - Revenue from the Collection segment is anticipated to be $2.9 billion, indicating a 4.8% rise year-over-year [3]. - Landfill revenues are expected to reach $476.7 million, suggesting a 5.3% growth compared to the previous year [3]. - Transfer revenues are projected at $214.3 million, hinting at an 11.5% year-over-year increase [3]. - Environmental Solutions revenues are estimated to be $483.9 million, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increment [3]. - The Other segment's revenues are expected to be $212.8 million, indicating a 3.7% increase from the prior year [3]. EBITDA and Earnings Projections - Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be $1.4 billion, representing a 3.7% rise from the year-ago quarter [4]. - The EBITDA margin is expected to be 31.7%, which indicates a 30-basis-point decline year-over-year [4]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is $1.77, reflecting a 2.2% decline from the same quarter last year, attributed to weaker margins [4]. Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Republic Services, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.41% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5].