Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a slight improvement in coal prices in Q3, indicating stable production and sales despite overall negative trends in financial performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.48 billion yuan, down 19.1% [1]. - In Q3, the company reported operating revenue of 3.2 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.16%, and a net profit of 560 million yuan, down 14.2% [1]. - The average selling price of coal for the first three quarters was 523 yuan per ton, a decrease of 6.9%, while the external sales price was 508 yuan per ton, down 9.4% [1]. Production and Sales - The company’s coal production for the first three quarters was 16.8 million tons, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year, with sales of 14.47 million tons, up 5.0% [1]. - Q3 saw a unit price of 513 yuan per ton, an increase of 3.0% from the previous quarter, while the unit cost was 328 yuan per ton, a decrease of 0.7% [2]. - The overall coal sales revenue for the segment was 7.57 billion yuan, down 2.3% year-on-year, with external sales revenue of 4.82 billion yuan, down 13.7% [2]. Power Generation - The company achieved a power generation volume of 11 billion kWh in the first three quarters, an increase of 28.2% year-on-year, with sales of 10.4 billion kWh, up 27.9% [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price for the first three quarters was approximately 0.372 yuan per kWh, a decrease of 8.45%, while Q3 saw a price of 0.37 yuan per kWh, an increase of 1.0% [2]. Future Capacity and Projections - The company is planning new capacity primarily in the power sector, with the Banji Power Plant Phase II expected to be operational in October 2024, and additional projects scheduled for 2026 [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 12.1 billion, 14.3 billion, and 14.7 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 2.09 billion, 2.46 billion, and 2.58 billion yuan [3].
新集能源(601918):旺季需求共振煤电价格环升 低估值仍蕴电力成长价值