连续七年成第一生育大省，广东人口“双料冠军”的经济密码

Core Insights - Guangdong has maintained its position as the top province for birth rates in China for seven consecutive years, with a birth population of 1.13 million in 2024, an increase of 100,000 from the previous year [2][5] - The province's population growth is driven by both natural increase and migration, with a total population increase of 740,000 in 2024, comprising 470,000 from natural growth and 270,000 from net migration [5][6] - The demographic structure in Guangdong is favorable, with a high proportion of working-age population (66.38%) and a relatively low elderly population (10.18%), contributing to its robust birth rates [6][10] Population Growth Dynamics - Guangdong's population growth is characterized by a "dual-driven" model of natural and mechanical growth, contrasting with other provinces like Zhejiang, which relies primarily on migration [3][5] - The province's strong economic foundation, large base of reproductive-age population, and favorable cultural attitudes towards childbirth contribute to its high birth rates [3][6] - The influx of young migrants into Guangdong, particularly in the Pearl River Delta region, is a significant factor in its population growth, supported by the province's economic and social development [3][7] Economic and Industrial Implications - The continuous population growth in Guangdong is expected to positively impact industrial development and consumer markets, creating a virtuous cycle that stimulates economic growth [3][9] - Guangdong's advanced manufacturing and high-tech industries account for significant portions of its industrial output, with advanced manufacturing value-added accounting for 57.1% of industrial value [10] - The province's labor market is bolstered by a large pool of skilled workers, with over 20 million skilled workers and millions of high-skilled talents, facilitating industrial upgrades and innovation [10][12] Talent Attraction and Retention Strategies - Guangdong has implemented various talent attraction policies, such as the "Million Talents Gathering in South Guangdong" initiative, which has successfully attracted over 1 million college graduates to the province [12] - The province aims to transform its population advantage into a talent advantage by enhancing the quality of its workforce and aligning talent development with industrial needs [11][12] - The government is focusing on improving living conditions and job opportunities to retain talent, emphasizing the importance of a supportive environment for both local and migrant populations [8][11]