人民币兑美元中间价报7.0856上调25点，升值至2024年10月15日以来最高！Wrightson：美联储本周或将结束缩表

Group 1 - The central parity rate of the RMB against the USD is reported at 7.0856, an increase of 25 points, marking the highest appreciation since October 15, 2024 [2] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 97.3%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 2.7% [4] - The cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by December is 95.3% [4] Group 3 - Analysts from Wrightson predict that the Federal Reserve may announce the end of balance sheet reduction this week, as recent movements in the overnight lending market indicate tightening financing conditions [5] - Wrightson's team suggests that the Federal Reserve's action this week would be a cautious move to avoid excessive pressure on the funding market, despite the belief that reserve supply remains ample [5]