发出这么多信号，欧洲会跟我们摊牌吗？

Core Points - The joint statement from 14 countries, including the UK, France, Germany, and Italy, emphasizes immediate ceasefire in Ukraine and the use of frozen Russian assets for Ukraine's reconstruction, notably without the involvement of the US [1][2] - Ukraine's agreement to ceasefire at the current contact line indicates a deteriorating military situation for Ukraine, contrasting with its previous hardline stance [2][5] - The Russian military claims significant territorial gains and encirclement of Ukrainian forces, suggesting increasing pressure on Ukraine [3][5] Group 1: Geopolitical Dynamics - The absence of the US in the joint statement reflects a shift in alliances, with traditional allies acting independently, which may impact the East Asian situation [1][5] - Trump's administration is focused on minimizing losses in Ukraine while seeking to distance from the conflict, contrasting with European nations' desire to weaken Russia [5][6] - The divergence in threat perception between Europe and the US, with Europe viewing Russia as the primary threat and China as secondary, complicates unified strategies against China [8][9] Group 2: Military and Economic Implications - The ongoing military challenges faced by Ukraine, coupled with reduced US support, suggest a bleak outlook for Ukrainian resistance [5][9] - European nations are beginning to take actions against China, indicating a potential shift in focus from the Ukraine conflict to addressing competition with China [9][10] - The possibility of a coordinated trade war between the US and Europe against China could emerge if the Ukraine conflict reaches a resolution [10]