Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-28 05:56Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports indicates that Cathay Pacific Securities has adjusted Xiaomi Group-W's (01810) revenue forecasts for FY2025E-FY2027E to 482.3 billion, 634.7 billion, and 750.6 billion RMB respectively, down from previous estimates of 489.1 billion, 641.8 billion, and 758.4 billion RMB [1] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for Xiaomi Group are now 43.6 billion, 67.9 billion, and 83.3 billion RMB for FY2025E-FY2027E, compared to previous estimates of 45.4 billion, 68.1 billion, and 83.6 billion RMB [1] - The target price for Xiaomi Group has been adjusted to 65.7 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2 - In Q3 2025, Xiaomi's automotive delivery volume is expected to approach 109,000 units, with an anticipated increase in average selling price (ASP) due to the ramp-up of Yu7 deliveries, leading to an estimated automotive sales revenue of approximately 29.2 billion RMB [1] - The company is projected to achieve operational profitability in its automotive segment in Q3, driven by scale effects and cost reduction measures [1] Group 3 - According to IDC, global smartphone shipments in Q3 2025 increased by 2.6% year-on-year, with Xiaomi's smartphone shipments rising by 1.8% to 43.5 million units, capturing a market share of 13.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - In the Chinese market, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments fell by 1.7% year-on-year to 10 million units, influenced by a decline in sales proportion and rising storage costs [2] - The company's IoT segment is prioritized for profitability, with expected revenue growth of 6% year-on-year to 27.7 billion RMB in Q3, despite a slight quarter-on-quarter decline [2] Group 4 - Internet revenue is expected to grow by 7.7% year-on-year in Q3, maintaining a gross margin of 75.4% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The Xiaomi 17 series, launched at the end of September, has seen total sales increase by 30% year-on-year, with the Pro version accounting for over 80% of sales, indicating significant success in the high-end market [2]