Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-28 06:20Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has dropped over 3% and has seen a cumulative decline of 25% in the past month, attributed to rising memory chip prices and declining sales in the Chinese market [1] Financial Performance - As of the latest report, Xiaomi's stock is trading at 44.42 HKD with a transaction volume of 5.994 billion HKD [1] - Citigroup forecasts that Xiaomi's adjusted net profit will reach 10.2 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 64% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5% [1] Market Conditions - The storage chip market is currently experiencing a price surge, which has been acknowledged by Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun, who noted significant increases in memory prices [1] - According to Guotai Junan Securities, Xiaomi's smartphone gross margin is expected to decline slightly by 0.5 percentage points to 11% in Q3 due to the impact of rising storage prices and a decrease in sales proportion from the Chinese market [1] Product Performance - The total sales of the Xiaomi 17 series, released at the end of September, have increased by 30% year-on-year, with the Pro version accounting for over 80% of sales, indicating successful high-end product positioning [1] - The steady increase in automotive delivery volumes is anticipated to contribute positively to operational profitability [1] Future Outlook - Xiaomi is expected to announce its Q3 2025 earnings on November 18, with overall performance likely to be slightly below Citigroup's expectations due to lower smartphone gross margins and IoT revenue [1]