俄油收入已腰斩，特朗普再补一刀，是为和平，还是为美国赚钱？

Group 1 - The core of the recent sanctions imposed by the Trump administration targets two major Russian energy companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, aiming to exclude them from the global dollar financial system [1][3] - The sanctions are designed to cut off the substantial revenue that Russia earns from fossil fuels, which is crucial for sustaining its military operations in Ukraine [5][7] - The immediate effect of these sanctions has led to a rise in global oil prices, increasing export pressures on Russia while potentially providing Ukraine with more leverage in negotiations [5][9] Group 2 - The sanctions serve a dual purpose: to create geopolitical pressure for peace in Ukraine and to benefit the U.S. energy sector by filling the energy gap left by Russian oil in Europe [9][11] - The U.S. is positioned as a leading exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), and the sanctions against Russia could provide a significant opportunity for U.S. LNG to penetrate the European market [11][13] - The effectiveness of these sanctions hinges on the cooperation of major buyers like India and China, which could undermine the sanctions if they continue to purchase Russian oil using alternative currencies [16][18] Group 3 - If the sanctions succeed, Russia's economy may suffer due to reduced revenues, potentially forcing it back to the negotiation table, while the U.S. could dominate the European energy market [20][22] - Conversely, if Russia finds new buyers and payment methods, it could mitigate the impact of the sanctions, leading to increased global oil prices and harming the U.S. and its allies [20][22] - The outcome of this economic confrontation will significantly influence global energy markets and the geopolitical landscape in the coming months [22]