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三美股份(603379)公司点评报告:公司制冷剂产品价格持续增长 前三季度业绩同比大幅增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant revenue and profit growth for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising prices of refrigerants and improved industry dynamics [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 4.429 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.72% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.591 billion yuan, up 183.66% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.580 billion yuan, reflecting a 188.03% increase year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, total revenue was 1.601 billion yuan, a 60.29% increase year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 596 million yuan, up 236.57% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q3 was 594 million yuan, a 240.40% increase year-on-year [1] Product Pricing and Sales - The average selling price of fluorinated refrigerants for the first three quarters was 39,800 yuan/ton, a 56.5% increase year-on-year, while external sales volume was 95,400 tons, down 1.88% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the average selling price was 41,300 yuan/ton, a 55.65% increase year-on-year, with external sales volume of 33,400 tons, up 7.45% year-on-year [1] Industry Trends - The third-generation refrigerants are experiencing an upward trend in demand due to supply constraints and improved industry competition [2] - The average prices for the main third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a have increased significantly, with respective increases of 46.51%, 8.33%, and 27.06% since the beginning of the year [2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the favorable market conditions as a leading player in the refrigerant industry [2] Strategic Developments - The company is actively enhancing its integrated supply chain, with ongoing projects in various stages of development, including lithium hexafluorophosphate production and several other chemical projects [2] - Key projects include a 1,500 tons/year lithium hexafluorophosphate facility, a 5,000 tons/year perfluoroalkylene project, and a smart filling production line for refrigerants [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the upward cycle in the refrigerant market, with projected net profits of 2.147 billion yuan, 2.653 billion yuan, and 3.176 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 175.83%, 23.54%, and 19.71% respectively [3] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 16X, 13X, and 11X for the same period [3]