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国信证券:一季度主流制冷剂长协价格持续上涨 建议关注含氟聚合物价格修复
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 07:45
国信证券发布研报称,展望2026年一季度,伴随一季度长协价格确定,终端空调企业长协订单执行稳 定。根据百川盈孚、卓创咨询,26年1月份R22、R125、R152a报价均上涨。排产方面,2026年前两月排 产出现分化,1月受元旦假期以及部分企业前置2月春节排产影响,内销排产推高。此外,关注成本支 撑、供需改善背景下含氟聚合物价格上涨,建议关注PVDF、PTFE等含氟高分子价格修复。 国信证券主要观点如下: 一季度主流制冷剂长协价格持续上涨 展望一季度,伴随一季度长协价格确定,终端空调企业长协订单执行稳定:据卓创资讯(301299), R32长协价格将在6.12万元/吨,环比2025年四季度价格上涨1000元/吨,涨幅1.66%;R410A长协价格在 5.51万元/吨,环比2025年四季度上涨1900元/吨,涨幅3.57%。预计往后一周R32价格区间约6.2-6.3万元/ 吨,R410a往后一周价格区间约5.5-5.6万元/吨,R134a往后一周价格区间约5.6-5.7万元/吨。 R22、R125、R152a报价上涨 根据百川盈孚、卓创咨询,本月R22报价提升至1.7万元/吨,较上月+1000元/吨;R134a报 ...
氟化工行业2026年1月月度观察:氟化工公司业绩高速增长,含氟聚合物价格持续上行
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-06 05:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluorinated polymers continuing to rise. The performance of fluorochemical companies is strong, supported by stable demand and supply dynamics [1][4]. - The long-term outlook for mainstream refrigerants such as R32, R134a, and R125 remains positive due to tightening quota constraints, which are expected to sustain price increases [5][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index stood at 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025. The index underperformed the Shenwan Chemical Index by 5.95 percentage points but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indices by 5.12 and 3.01 percentage points, respectively [1][17]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - In the first quarter of 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are on the rise. R32 is expected to be priced at 61,200 CNY/ton, a 1.66% increase from the previous quarter, while R410A is projected at 55,100 CNY/ton, up 3.57% [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R134a, R125, and R32 have shown increases, with R22 reaching 17,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 48,500 CNY/ton, and R134a maintaining at 58,000 CNY/ton [24][23]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side of the fluorochemical industry is characterized by tight overall supply and low inventory levels among companies, which supports price increases. The demand side shows continued interest in stockpiling ahead of the holiday season [4][9]. - The production quotas for refrigerants in 2026 indicate a slight increase in the production capacity for R32, R125, and R134a, while R143a and R152a quotas have been reduced [4][79]. 4. Liquid Cooling Demand - The rapid growth of data centers is driving the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants, as traditional air cooling methods are becoming insufficient. The market for liquid cooling solutions is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 100 billion CNY by 2027 [64][70]. - Companies involved in the production of fluorinated liquids, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and others, are well-positioned to benefit from this trend [73][74]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts - Juhua Co. is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101%. Dongyue Group and Sanmei Co. are also projected to see significant profit increases [4][10].
氟化工行业2026年1月月度观察:氟化工公司业绩高速增长,含氟聚合物价格持续上行-20260206
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-06 05:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluoropolymers continuing to rise. The industry index has shown a performance that outpaces the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see stable execution of long-term contracts for refrigerants, with significant price increases noted for R32 and R410A [2][5]. - The demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth of liquid cooling technologies in data centers, driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index reached 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025, while the chemical index rose by 12.72% [1][17]. - The Guosen Chemical Fluorochemical Price Index reported a 2.95% increase, indicating a positive trend in pricing for fluorochemical products [1][18]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - Long-term contract prices for refrigerants are on the rise, with R32 priced at 61,200 CNY/ton and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 1.66% and 3.57% respectively from the previous quarter [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R125, and R134a have also seen upward adjustments, with R22 now at 17,000 CNY/ton, up 1,000 CNY/ton from the previous month [2][24]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The report highlights the urgent need for efficient cooling technologies in data centers, with liquid cooling solutions becoming increasingly favored over traditional air cooling due to their superior efficiency [3][64]. - The market for liquid cooling in data centers is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% expected from 2019 to 2027 [3][70]. 4. Refrigerant Quota Announcements - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the refrigerant quotas for 2026, indicating a slight increase in production quotas for R32, R125, and R134a, while R141b's quota has been eliminated [4][79]. - The report suggests that the tightening of refrigerant quotas will support long-term price stability and growth in the industry [4][74]. 5. Company Profit Forecasts - Major companies in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co., are expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with Juhua's net profit projected to increase by 80%-101% [4][10].
氟化工行业:2026年1月月度观察:氟化工公司业绩高速增长,含氟聚合物价格持续上行-20260206
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-06 05:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluorinated polymers continuing to rise. The industry index has shown a performance that outpaces the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see sustained price increases for mainstream refrigerants due to stable execution of long-term contracts by terminal air conditioning companies [2][5]. - The demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth of liquid cooling technologies in data centers, driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index was at 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025, indicating a strong performance relative to other indices [1][17]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - Long-term contract prices for refrigerants such as R32 and R410A have increased, with R32 priced at 61,200 CNY/ton and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 1.66% and 3.57% respectively from the previous quarter [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R125, and R134a have also seen increases, with R22 at 17,000 CNY/ton and R125 at 48,500 CNY/ton [24]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The report highlights the urgent need for efficient cooling technologies in data centers, with liquid cooling solutions becoming a preferred choice due to their superior performance compared to traditional air cooling [3][64]. - The market for liquid cooling in data centers is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% expected from 2019 to 2027 [70]. 4. Refrigerant Quota Announcements - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the 2026 refrigerant quotas, indicating a slight increase in production quotas for R32, R125, and R134a, while R141b's quota has been eliminated [4][79]. - The report anticipates that the stringent quota policies will continue to support the long-term growth of refrigerant products [4][74]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts - Key companies in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co., are projected to achieve significant profit growth in 2025, with expected net profits increasing by 80%-176% year-on-year [4][10].
制冷剂景气持续,龙头业绩预喜,关注石化ETF(159731)配置机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-05 04:45
每日经济新闻 (责任编辑:董萍萍 ) 截至10:34,石化ETF(159731)跌1.88%,持仓股广东宏大、三美股份、巨化股份等涨幅居前。从 资金净流入方面来看,石化ETF(159731)近20个交易日资金净流入总计14.30亿元。石化ETF最新份 额达16.92亿份,最新规模17.06亿元。 据百川盈孚市场监测,2026年1月以来,第三代主流制冷剂R32均价稳定在6.3万元/吨,同比增长约 45%;R134a市场均价稳定在5.8万元/吨,同比增长32%;截至2月3日,R125、R410a分别同比增长16% 和29%,并且这两种制冷剂自2025年四季度以来均出现持续上涨趋势。在制冷剂量价齐升的带动下,近 期,巨化股份、三美股份、永和股份等制冷剂龙头企业均已披露亮眼的2025年业绩预告。 开源认为,随着A5国家进入配额基线年尾声,其对高GWP制冷剂的进口需求有望集中释放,有望 带动相关产品出口增长,并进一步拉动内贸市场,市场价格调整有待国内需求增量时机。整体来看,在 低库存、供给受限的背景下,随着后续需求逐步回暖,尤其是旺季来临,制冷剂价格上涨动能充足。 石化ETF(159731)及其联接基金(017855/ ...
三美股份(603379) - 浙江三美化工股份有限公司关于为参股公司提供担保暨关联交易的进展公告
2026-02-04 08:45
证券代码:603379 证券简称:三美股份 公告编号:2026-010 重要内容提示: 浙江三美化工股份有限公司 关于为参股公司提供担保暨关联交易的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 担保对象及基本情况 | 被担保人名称 | 被担保人关联关系 | 本次担保金额 | 实际为其提供 的担保余额 | | 是否在前期 | 本次担保是 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (不含本次担 | | 预计额度内 | 否有反担保 | | | | | 保金额) | | | | | 重庆市新美合 | 上市公司董事、监 事、高级管理人员及 | 1,029.00 万元 | 8,330.00 | 万元 | 是 | | | 科技有限公司 | 其控制或者任职的 | | | | | 否 | | | 主体 | | | | | | 累计担保情况 三、担保协议的主要内容 保证人:浙江三美化工股份有限公司 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额(万元) | 0.00 | | --- | - ...
三美股份2月2日获融资买入8022.06万元,融资余额8.11亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 01:32
2月2日,三美股份跌3.59%,成交额8.26亿元。两融数据显示,当日三美股份获融资买入额8022.06万 元,融资偿还6833.55万元,融资净买入1188.51万元。截至2月2日,三美股份融资融券余额合计8.14亿 元。 融资方面,三美股份当日融资买入8022.06万元。当前融资余额8.11亿元,占流通市值的1.99%,融资余 额低于近一年30%分位水平,处于低位。 截至9月30日,三美股份股东户数2.26万,较上期增加26.46%;人均流通股27014股,较上期减少 20.92%。2025年1月-9月,三美股份实现营业收入44.29亿元,同比增长45.72%;归母净利润15.91亿元, 同比增长183.66%。 分红方面,三美股份A股上市后累计派现11.22亿元。近三年,累计派现7.55亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,三美股份十大流通股东中,香港中央结算有限公司位居第六大流 通股东,持股822.22万股,相比上期增加335.58万股。鹏华中证细分化工产业主题ETF联接A(014942) 位居第八大流通股东,持股368.96万股,为新进股东。南方中证500ETF(510500)位居第九大流 ...
氟化工行业周报:三代制冷剂价格淡季坚挺,新一轮价格上涨或在酝酿,巨量化股份、昊华科技等发布2025业绩预增公告
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-02 00:30
化学原料 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 化学原料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《制冷剂 R404、R507 打响新年上涨 第一枪,三美股份、永和股份业绩预 增—氟化工行业周报》-2026.1.18 《制冷剂长协价格延续上涨趋势,萤 石价格企稳,金石资源拟收购诺亚氟 化工股权 — 氟 化 工 行 业 周 报 》- 2025.12.28 《2026 年制冷剂配额下发,行情保持 趋势向上;PVDF 头部企业停产,有 望助推反转行情—氟化工行业周报》 -2025.12.14 《制冷剂行业深度报告三:蓄势双 击,或迎主升》(2024.12.17) 《制冷剂政策点评:制冷剂 2025 年 配额方案征求意见稿下发,看好制冷 剂景气向上趋势延续》(2024.9.16) 《东阳光首次覆盖报告:原有主业或 迎业绩反转,制冷剂开启长景气周 期》(2024.8.27) 《制冷剂行业深度报告二:拐点已 现,行则将至》(2024.2.6) 《制冷剂行业深度报告:十年轮回, 未来已来》(20 ...
氟化工行业周报:三代制冷剂价格淡季坚挺,新一轮价格上涨或在酝酿,巨量化股份、昊华科技等发布2025业绩预增公告-20260201
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 13:44
化学原料 《制冷剂行业深度报告三:蓄势双 击,或迎主升》(2024.12.17) 《制冷剂政策点评:制冷剂 2025 年 配额方案征求意见稿下发,看好制冷 剂景气向上趋势延续》(2024.9.16) 《东阳光首次覆盖报告:原有主业或 迎业绩反转,制冷剂开启长景气周 期》(2024.8.27) 《制冷剂行业深度报告二:拐点已 现,行则将至》(2024.2.6) 《制冷剂行业深度报告:十年轮回, 未来已来》(2021.10.20) 《金石资源深度报告(三):新兴产 业创造新的需求增长极,萤石供给将 现缺口》(2021.8.22) 《三美股份深度报告:三代制冷剂将 迎"黄金十年",静待龙头引领周期 反转》(2020.12.30) 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 化学原料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《制冷剂 R404、R507 打响新年上涨 第一枪,三美股份、永和股份业绩预 增—氟化工行业周报》-2026.1.18 《制冷剂长协价格延续上涨趋势,萤 石价格企稳,金石资源 ...
三美股份(603379) - 浙江三美化工股份有限公司关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理到期赎回的公告
2026-01-29 08:30
证券代码:603379 证券简称:三美股份 公告编号:2026-009 单位:万元 受托方 产品名称 认购金额 预期年化收 益率(%) 起息日 到期日 赎回本金 实际收益 建行武义 支行 结构性存 款 6,500.00 0.65-2.00 2025/10/28 2026/1/28 6,500.00 32.77 合计 6,500.00 / / / 6,500.00 32.77 关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理 到期赎回的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 浙江三美化工股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 3 月 24 日召开 第六届董事会第十八次会议和第六届监事会第十六次会议,分别审议通过《关于 使用闲置募集资金进行现金管理的议案》,同意公司在确保募投项目所需资金和 保证募集资金安全的前提下,使用闲置募集资金进行现金管理,授权期限内单日 最高余额不超过 1.90 亿元,授权期限自该次董事会审议通过之日起 12 个月。具 体内容详见公司于 2025 年 3 月 25 日在上海证券交易所网站(www ...