《节能与新能源汽车技术路线图3.0》五大技术群解读

Core Insights - The automotive industry is expected to see internal combustion engines remain a significant power source for the next 5 to 15 years, with a projected one-third of new passenger cars being hybrid by 2040 [2] - A clear carbon emission reduction target has been established, aiming for a 60% decrease in average carbon emissions for passenger cars by 2040 compared to 2024 [3] - New energy vehicles are anticipated to become the mainstream product in the automotive market within the next 5 to 15 years, with significant advancements in battery technology and fuel cell engines [4] Energy-Saving Technology Group - The strategy for passenger vehicles focuses on "power upgrade, with hybridization as a key point," while commercial vehicles will adopt a "multi-power coexistence" approach due to complex application scenarios [2] - By 2040, the average fuel consumption of new traditional energy passenger cars is expected to reach 3.5L/100km [2] New Energy Technology Group - By 2040, the penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles is projected to exceed 85%, with battery electric vehicles (BEV) accounting for 80% [4] - The energy consumption for leading electric passenger vehicles is expected to decrease to less than 9.2 kWh per 100 km by 2040 [4] Common Support Technology Group - The next 5 to 15 years will see a transformation towards intelligence, integration, and cross-domain fusion in common support technologies [5] - Automotive chip technology is expected to evolve towards high performance, high integration, and low power consumption [5] Intelligent Connected Technology Route Group - Intelligent connected vehicles are entering a rapid market development phase, with expectations for widespread adoption of L2-level and above assisted driving in new passenger cars by 2030 [6] - By 2040, L4-level intelligent connected vehicles are expected to be fully popularized in new vehicles, with L5-level vehicles beginning to enter the market [7] Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Group - The intelligent manufacturing technology roadmap aims to support the smart transformation of automotive manufacturing, focusing on quality improvement, efficiency enhancement, cost reduction, and low carbon [8] - The concept of "new automobiles" is introduced, characterized by data-driven capabilities and self-evolution, marking a significant departure from traditional vehicles [9]