国际黄金开启跳水下行 回调变反转？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent volatility in international gold prices and the potential impacts of geopolitical events and economic factors on the market [1][3]. Geopolitical Factors - Key geopolitical issues include the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Middle East war, which are influencing market sentiments and could lead to fluctuations in gold prices [3]. - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 28th day, is also a significant factor affecting market stability [3]. Economic Factors - The article highlights the impact of Trump's tariffs on U.S.-China trade relations, framing it within the broader context of the dollar's dominance and the global trend towards de-dollarization [3][6]. - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a continuation of interest rate cuts, with predictions of two rate cuts of 25 basis points each by the end of the year [6][8]. Market Analysis - Current market conditions suggest a potential decline in gold prices due to profit-taking by high-level investors, although the core issues remain unresolved, indicating possible future price increases [3][6]. - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have recently broken down, with a focus on key resistance and support levels for trading strategies [11][12]. Trading Strategy - The article suggests a cautious trading approach, recommending light positions and increased stop-loss levels due to market volatility [11]. - Specific price levels for potential trading actions are provided, including resistance at 4056, 4148, and 4237, and support at 3942 [11][12].