HPEC(SH:600312) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-28 12:27Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.44 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 980 million yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company generated revenue of 2.74 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decline of 3.6% and a year-on-year decline of 14.0%, while the net profit was 320 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.8% but a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [1] - The company’s gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters of 2025 were 25.1% and 12.5%, respectively, both up by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The company’s contract liabilities reached 1.87 billion yuan, an increase of 46.3% year-on-year, indicating a strong order backlog [1] - The company’s operating expenses showed a decrease in sales expense ratio (3.4%), management expense ratio (3.0%), and financial expense ratio (-0.5%), while the R&D expense ratio increased to 4.5%, leading to a slight overall increase in expense ratios by 0.4 percentage points [1] Industry Developments - In the first three quarters of 2025, the investment in power grid projects reached 437.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [2] - The company successfully developed an 800kV AC GIL, which is expected to benefit from the Yashan Hydropower Station project, and signed a contract for the export of 145kV environmentally friendly GIS equipment to Poland, marking the entry of China's self-developed high-voltage GIS equipment into the European market [2] Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 13.76 billion, 15.32 billion, and 17.11 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates [3] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are adjusted to 1.26 billion, 1.50 billion, and 1.75 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19, 16, and 13 times [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite the downward revision of forecasts [3]