1月15日，国家电网正式披露"十五五"期间固定资产投资规划，预计总投资额将达到4万亿元，相较于"十四五"期间增长约40%。从宏观数据看，中国电 网投资已经进入了一个明确的高增长通道，市场对于"电网周期"的期待达到了前所未有的高度。 来源：国家能源局、国家统计局 然而，复盘上一个电网周期，我们会发现一个奇怪的现象：尽管市场习惯将国家能源局发布的"电网工程投资完成额"视为行业晴雨表，但不同电网设备 公司的净利润与"电网工程投资完成额"的增长趋势并非完全一致，而是会呈现出比较大的差异。 事实上，电网并不是铁板一块，不同的环节赚的是完全不同的钱。 来源：各公司财报、国家能源局 0 1 三大维度 我们知道，电力系统可以分为发—输—变—配—用，其中输配电网（含变电）是电网的核心主体。更进一步，电网工程的投资可以被拆解为三个不同维 度：主干网/特高压、智能电网/数智化以及配用电侧设备。 主干网/特高压更偏向于一次设备，即物理上的输电通道建设，用来直接承载和传输电能。电压等级从低压（380V/220V）到特高压（1000kV交流、 ±800/±1100kV 直流）均有对应设备，最典型的就是变压器和开关设备。这类投资的特点是单 ...

需求端持续超预期23年以来新能源建设+电网升级周期启动、25年AI爆发，数据中心建设加速；供给端产能刚性、 海外大厂扩产推迟电力变压器依赖高技能劳动力，23年以前经历长期低利润率，行业持续缩减产能并流失熟练劳 动力，西门子能源、现代电气均由于技术人员培训推迟产能扩张。 国内变压器产能占全球60%，交付周期不到欧美企业的五分之一，匹配当前AI算力竞争、数据中心建设迫切性； 梳理当前海外大厂扩产计划，到2030年欧美地区电力变压器仍面临10%的短缺，持续看好国内企业受益海外订单 外溢。 投资建议：1）高压设备出口及零部件：思源电气、特变电工、华明装备等；2）国内投资：平高电气、中国西 电、许继电气、国电南瑞等。 需求端持续超预期23年以来新能源建设+电网升级周期启动、25年AI爆发，数据中心建设加速；供给端产能刚性、 海外大厂扩产推迟电力变压器依赖高 （板块转发：国金电新） 电网大涨：国内变压器工厂爆单，重申看好电力设备出口高景气20260202 事件：央视财经报道，广东、江苏等地大量变压器工厂已经处于满产的状态，部分面向数据中心业务订单排到 2027年，美国市场交付周期从50周延长至127周。 （板块转发：国金 ...

中信证券认为，历史经验来看，大盘与小盘、质量与题材的风格轮动周期在10年左右。当下，小 盘、题材风格的超额收益再次触及极值，题材股行情的演绎速度也接近2015年泡沫市的水平，这都是不 可持续的现象。随着市场对于通胀修复、企业盈利修复有更多的讨论，接下来很可能是一轮大周期维度 下的风格切换，从小盘切大盘，从题材切质量。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 自由现金流ETF（159201）及其联接基金（A：023917；C：023918）紧密跟踪国证自由现金流指 数，经流动性、行业、ROE稳定性筛选后，选取自由现金流为正且占比高的股票，指数质地高，抗风险 能力强，适合底仓配置，满足长线投资配置需求。基金管理费年费率为0.15%，托管费年费率为 0.05%，均为市场最低费率水平，最大程度让利投资者。 每日经济新闻 2月2日早盘，A股主要指数调整，国证自由现金流指数盘中跌超2%，成分股涨跌互现，烽火通 ...

格隆汇1月30日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前暂无增持计划。 ...

深 度 研 究 超配（维持） 电力设备及新能源行业之电网设备专题报告 铁塔凌云起，智电写春秋 2026 年 1 月 28 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340522050001 电话：0769-22119416 邮箱：liuxingwen@dgzq.com.cn 行业指数走势 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 券 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 电力设备及新能源行业 分析师：刘兴文 电网设备行业迈入新发展阶段。电网建设是电力行业发展的重要基 础，电网建设包括变电站和电力线路建设，当前我国智能电网、西 电东送、城乡电网改造等重要项目都需要大量的电网设备，并提出 了新的要求，高效、节能、环保的电网设备将成为未来市场的主流， 电源电网的转型升级为我国的电网设备制造业创造了巨大的发展机 遇。近年来，大数据、人工智能、物联网等技术的快速迭代，加速 了电网数字化转型的进程，智能开关设备、智能电表、数据采集终 端等智能电力设备产品在新型电力系统各个环节中得到广泛应用。 行 业 研 相关报告 ...

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" includes a significant investment of 4 trillion yuan in ultra-high voltage (UHV) infrastructure, which is expected to drive the A-share UHV sector to new heights, with the sector index rising from around 2700 points at the beginning of the year to over 5000 points, outperforming the broader market [1][2] - The investment plan represents a 40% increase compared to the previous five-year plan, focusing on UHV direct current transmission channels and smart distribution networks, indicating a golden era for the UHV industry [2][3] Investment and Market Dynamics - Leading stocks in the UHV sector, such as XJ Electric, Pinggao Group, and China XD Electric, have seen price increases exceeding 35%, with an overall rise of over 60% in the past year [2] - The National Grid's investment plan aims to enhance cross-regional transmission capacity by over 30% before 2030, addressing structural imbalances in energy resource distribution across China [4][8] Technological Advancements - Continuous technological innovations are enhancing the efficiency and reliability of UHV systems, exemplified by the ±800 kV flexible direct current project, which improves grid stability and adaptability to renewable energy fluctuations [6][19] - The global energy transition is creating historical opportunities for UHV technology to expand internationally, particularly in Europe, where energy security concerns are driving demand for UHV infrastructure [8][9] Industry Structure and Key Players - The UHV industry exhibits a "dumbbell" structure, with core equipment and materials at the upstream and grid construction and operation at the downstream, creating a capital and technology-intensive ecosystem [13] - Major companies like State Grid, Southern Grid, and key equipment manufacturers are expanding their international market presence, with annual investments in UHV projects along the Belt and Road Initiative expected to reach approximately 400 billion yuan [12][34] Financial Performance and Growth Projections - Companies like Guodian NARI and Pinggao Electric are showing robust financial growth, with Guodian NARI reporting a revenue increase of 18.45% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [35][37] - The UHV sector is projected to benefit from a historical high in national grid investment, expected to reach 608.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.3% [28][31] Future Outlook - The UHV sector is poised for significant growth driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" investments and the ongoing development of international markets, particularly in regions like Southeast Asia and Europe [41] - The establishment of a new power system is expected to further integrate flexible direct current and mixed AC/DC distribution networks, promoting efficient, intelligent, and green energy solutions [33][41]

格隆汇1月26日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司尚无在美业务。 ...

格隆汇1月26日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司尚无在美业务。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric power and new energy sectors, including Ningde Times, Mingyang Electric, and Sunshine Power [6]. Core Insights - The focus on affordability in the U.S. AI power sector is expected to influence the mid-term elections in 2026, with significant price increases in wholesale electricity driven by rising gas prices and capacity costs [2][15]. - The report highlights the potential for a significant increase in capacity prices due to the growing demand from data centers, which are projected to account for 95% of the incremental capacity [2][23]. - The "Energy as a Service" (EAAS) model is identified as a viable solution for data centers to achieve rapid power access while internalizing costs, with an estimated annual installation demand of 29-45 GW from 2026 to 2030 [4][31]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Price Increases and Capacity Demand - The PJM wholesale electricity price increased by 43.7% year-on-year, with gas prices contributing 66% and capacity price increases contributing 30% [2][15]. - The report estimates that capacity prices could rise by 100% to 300% from current levels due to the demand from data centers [2][15]. Section 2: Energy as a Service (EAAS) Model - The EAAS model is projected to maintain a demand of 29-45 GW per year from 2026 to 2030, with small gas turbines being economically advantageous [4][31]. - This model allows data centers to meet their urgent power needs while minimizing the impact on overall electricity costs [4][31]. Section 3: Electric Grid and Regulatory Changes - The report emphasizes the need for accelerated approval processes for electric grid and power sources to reduce electricity costs through economies of scale [3][31]. - Recent regulatory changes, including FERC's proposals, aim to streamline the approval process for large loads and enhance the capacity of the electric grid [31][40]. Section 4: Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Ningde Times, Mingyang Electric, and Sunshine Power, all rated as "Buy" [9]. - Other recommended companies include Guodian NARI, Dongfang Electric, and Harbin Electric, which are positioned to benefit from the rising demand for electric power equipment [9]. Section 5: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in household solar storage demand driven by rising electricity prices, with potential for significant market growth [5][10]. - The overall electric power market is expected to experience a structural shift due to the increasing load from data centers, necessitating a reevaluation of investment strategies in the sector [31][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment sector [6] Core Insights - The report highlights new opportunities in the photovoltaic industry driven by space solar power initiatives and rising prices of battery components [1][17] - It emphasizes the importance of supply-side reforms and technological advancements in creating long-term growth opportunities within the industry [1][19] - The report identifies key companies to watch in various segments, including supply chain price increases, new technology growth, and perovskite solar cell developments [1][19][21] Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The price of multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials remains stable, with an average transaction price of 59,200 RMB per ton [17] - N-type battery cell prices have increased to 0.42 RMB per watt, with a price range of 0.40-0.43 RMB per watt [17] - The report notes that rising silver prices have led to increased component costs, with distributed component prices now ranging from 0.70 to 0.80 RMB per watt [17] - SpaceX and Tesla plan to achieve a combined solar manufacturing capacity of 200GW annually in the U.S. within three years, with 40GW dedicated to space solar power [1][18] - Key companies to focus on include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar for supply-side reform opportunities [1][19] Wind Power & Grid - The Netherlands will launch a 1GW offshore wind project tender in September 2026, with a subsidy budget of approximately 32.45 billion RMB [19][20] - Turkey plans to initiate its first offshore wind tender by the end of 2026, aiming for 5GW of installed capacity by 2035 [19][20] - Southern Power Grid has set a fixed asset investment of 180 billion RMB for 2026, focusing on new power system construction and strategic emerging industries [20] - Companies to watch include Goldwind, Yunda, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy in the wind turbine sector [20] Hydrogen Energy - A ceremony for the operation of 300 hydrogen fuel heavy trucks was recently held, showcasing advancements in hydrogen energy technology [3][21] - The trucks are equipped with a 130kW fuel cell system and can achieve a range of over 600 kilometers [3][21] - Key companies in this sector include Shuangliang Energy, Huadian Heavy Industry, and Shenghui Technology [3][21] Energy Storage - The report forecasts that new energy storage installations in China will reach 58.6GW/175.3GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38%/60% [4][22] - The average bid price for 2-hour energy storage systems is projected to be 0.55 RMB/Wh in 2025, down 16.9% from 2024 [4][22] - Companies to focus on include Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and Kehua Data for large-scale energy storage opportunities [4][22] New Energy Vehicles - CATL launched the "Tianxing II" series solutions for light commercial vehicles, including the industry's first intelligent battery management application [5][27] - The solutions cater to various scenarios, including high-frequency urban distribution and extreme temperature conditions [5][27] - Key companies in the battery sector include CATL, Penghui Energy, and Guoxuan High-Tech [5][29]