格隆汇1月30日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前暂无增持计划。 ...

深 度 研 究 超配（维持） 电力设备及新能源行业之电网设备专题报告 铁塔凌云起，智电写春秋 2026 年 1 月 28 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340522050001 电话：0769-22119416 邮箱：liuxingwen@dgzq.com.cn 行业指数走势 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 券 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 电力设备及新能源行业 分析师：刘兴文 电网设备行业迈入新发展阶段。电网建设是电力行业发展的重要基 础，电网建设包括变电站和电力线路建设，当前我国智能电网、西 电东送、城乡电网改造等重要项目都需要大量的电网设备，并提出 了新的要求，高效、节能、环保的电网设备将成为未来市场的主流， 电源电网的转型升级为我国的电网设备制造业创造了巨大的发展机 遇。近年来，大数据、人工智能、物联网等技术的快速迭代，加速 了电网数字化转型的进程，智能开关设备、智能电表、数据采集终 端等智能电力设备产品在新型电力系统各个环节中得到广泛应用。 行 业 研 相关报告 ...

"十五五"规划中，特高压4万亿投资滚滚来袭，带动A股特高压板块再创新高。而如果把时间线拉长可以看到，这次行情早就启动。 同花顺中的特高压板块指数从年初的2700点左右，暴涨至如今突破5000点，稳稳跑赢了大盘，尤其是今年，近一个月累计涨幅超过20%。 部分领涨个股如许继电气、平高电气、中国西电、风范股份、大连电瓷等涨幅普遍超过35%，近一年整体涨幅已突破60%。 国家电网"十五五"期间4万亿元的固定资产投资计划，较"十四五"增长40%，资金将重点投向特高压直流外送通道、智能配电网等领域，再叠加我国新能 源、算力方面的深度发展，特高压行业，即将进入一个黄金时代。 01 超级电网时代开启 特高压行业之所以重要，是因为它站在了一个由国家战略、能源转型与全球科技变革共同塑造的历史性风口之上。 其重要性不仅来源于单一的电网基建升级，还更在于支撑国家能源安全、实现"双碳"目标和推动建立世界上从未有过的"电力王国"。 而2026年作为"十五五"规划开局之年，就显得尤为重要，国家电网宣布将在未来五年内投入高达4万亿元用于固定资产投资，较"十四五"期间增长约 40%。 根据规划，这些资金中将有超过60%集中投向特高压直流外送通 ...

格隆汇1月26日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司尚无在美业务。 ...

格隆汇1月26日丨平高电气(600312.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司尚无在美业务。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric power and new energy sectors, including Ningde Times, Mingyang Electric, and Sunshine Power [6]. Core Insights - The focus on affordability in the U.S. AI power sector is expected to influence the mid-term elections in 2026, with significant price increases in wholesale electricity driven by rising gas prices and capacity costs [2][15]. - The report highlights the potential for a significant increase in capacity prices due to the growing demand from data centers, which are projected to account for 95% of the incremental capacity [2][23]. - The "Energy as a Service" (EAAS) model is identified as a viable solution for data centers to achieve rapid power access while internalizing costs, with an estimated annual installation demand of 29-45 GW from 2026 to 2030 [4][31]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Price Increases and Capacity Demand - The PJM wholesale electricity price increased by 43.7% year-on-year, with gas prices contributing 66% and capacity price increases contributing 30% [2][15]. - The report estimates that capacity prices could rise by 100% to 300% from current levels due to the demand from data centers [2][15]. Section 2: Energy as a Service (EAAS) Model - The EAAS model is projected to maintain a demand of 29-45 GW per year from 2026 to 2030, with small gas turbines being economically advantageous [4][31]. - This model allows data centers to meet their urgent power needs while minimizing the impact on overall electricity costs [4][31]. Section 3: Electric Grid and Regulatory Changes - The report emphasizes the need for accelerated approval processes for electric grid and power sources to reduce electricity costs through economies of scale [3][31]. - Recent regulatory changes, including FERC's proposals, aim to streamline the approval process for large loads and enhance the capacity of the electric grid [31][40]. Section 4: Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Ningde Times, Mingyang Electric, and Sunshine Power, all rated as "Buy" [9]. - Other recommended companies include Guodian NARI, Dongfang Electric, and Harbin Electric, which are positioned to benefit from the rising demand for electric power equipment [9]. Section 5: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in household solar storage demand driven by rising electricity prices, with potential for significant market growth [5][10]. - The overall electric power market is expected to experience a structural shift due to the increasing load from data centers, necessitating a reevaluation of investment strategies in the sector [31][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment sector [6] Core Insights - The report highlights new opportunities in the photovoltaic industry driven by space solar power initiatives and rising prices of battery components [1][17] - It emphasizes the importance of supply-side reforms and technological advancements in creating long-term growth opportunities within the industry [1][19] - The report identifies key companies to watch in various segments, including supply chain price increases, new technology growth, and perovskite solar cell developments [1][19][21] Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The price of multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials remains stable, with an average transaction price of 59,200 RMB per ton [17] - N-type battery cell prices have increased to 0.42 RMB per watt, with a price range of 0.40-0.43 RMB per watt [17] - The report notes that rising silver prices have led to increased component costs, with distributed component prices now ranging from 0.70 to 0.80 RMB per watt [17] - SpaceX and Tesla plan to achieve a combined solar manufacturing capacity of 200GW annually in the U.S. within three years, with 40GW dedicated to space solar power [1][18] - Key companies to focus on include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar for supply-side reform opportunities [1][19] Wind Power & Grid - The Netherlands will launch a 1GW offshore wind project tender in September 2026, with a subsidy budget of approximately 32.45 billion RMB [19][20] - Turkey plans to initiate its first offshore wind tender by the end of 2026, aiming for 5GW of installed capacity by 2035 [19][20] - Southern Power Grid has set a fixed asset investment of 180 billion RMB for 2026, focusing on new power system construction and strategic emerging industries [20] - Companies to watch include Goldwind, Yunda, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy in the wind turbine sector [20] Hydrogen Energy - A ceremony for the operation of 300 hydrogen fuel heavy trucks was recently held, showcasing advancements in hydrogen energy technology [3][21] - The trucks are equipped with a 130kW fuel cell system and can achieve a range of over 600 kilometers [3][21] - Key companies in this sector include Shuangliang Energy, Huadian Heavy Industry, and Shenghui Technology [3][21] Energy Storage - The report forecasts that new energy storage installations in China will reach 58.6GW/175.3GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38%/60% [4][22] - The average bid price for 2-hour energy storage systems is projected to be 0.55 RMB/Wh in 2025, down 16.9% from 2024 [4][22] - Companies to focus on include Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and Kehua Data for large-scale energy storage opportunities [4][22] New Energy Vehicles - CATL launched the "Tianxing II" series solutions for light commercial vehicles, including the industry's first intelligent battery management application [5][27] - The solutions cater to various scenarios, including high-frequency urban distribution and extreme temperature conditions [5][27] - Key companies in the battery sector include CATL, Penghui Energy, and Guoxuan High-Tech [5][29]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：财富情报局 在全球能源转型浪潮与中国"双碳"目标深入推进的背景下，一场决定未来电力系统形态的超级投资已拉 开序幕。电网，这一支撑能源革命的"骨骼"与"血脉"，正面临怎样的升级与重构？ 1月19日，高盛发布重磅研究报告《中国电网技术："十五五"电网投资为国内增长提供坚实支撑；对南 瑞、思源等构成利好》，明确指出中国国家电网在"十五五"（2026-2030年）期间的固定资产投资将瞄 准4万亿元人民币的历史新高。这不仅意味着年均超8000亿元的稳定投入，更预示着电网建设逻辑正从 周期波动，转向为消纳可再生能源、承载数字经济而进行的结构性重塑。 报告明确指出，本轮创纪录投资的根本驱动力，源于电力系统面临的根本任务转变：它不再仅仅是传输 电力，其核心任务已转变为高效消纳具有波动性的风光绿电。高盛认为，以特高压、智能配网、数字化 为核心的新型电网平台，是容纳风电、光伏高比例接入，并满足AI算力等新质负荷需求的唯一路径。 ——规模创"新高"，但增长逻辑已变 支撑未来五年电网景气的，是一个前所未有的投资基数。高盛报告揭示，国网"十五五"4万亿的投 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for several key companies in the power equipment sector, including Guodian Nanrui, Siyuan Electric, and TBEA, while recommending an increase in holdings for others like Sifang Co. and China XD Electric [2][3]. Core Insights - The State Grid's planned investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period represents a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% [1][9]. - The focus of this investment will be on green transformation, ultra-high voltage, distribution networks, energy storage, and digitalization, which is expected to significantly support the performance of related companies [1][9]. - The report highlights the increasing pressure on power consumption and the need for a new power system, emphasizing ultra-high voltage and energy storage as critical solutions to address this challenge [1][13][21]. Industry Overview - The total number of listed companies in the power equipment sector is 308, with a total market capitalization of 7,728.9 billion yuan [3]. - The absolute performance of the power equipment and new energy sector has shown significant growth, with a 63.1% increase over 12 months [5]. Key Company Analysis - Guodian Nanrui is recognized as a leader in secondary equipment with strong technology barriers and stable operations, expected to see significant growth in high-voltage and system stability businesses [26]. - Siyuan Electric has established a comprehensive product system and service network in overseas markets, with a notable increase in overseas revenue [26]. - China XD Electric benefits from increased capital expenditure in domestic main networks and ultra-high voltage projects, with a growing presence in international markets [27]. - TBEA is experiencing rapid growth in orders, particularly in the Middle East and Europe, and is expected to benefit from ongoing power construction projects [28]. - Other notable companies include XJ Electric, Pinggao Electric, and Igor, each with unique strengths and growth prospects in the evolving power equipment landscape [29][30][31].

Core Insights - China's transformer exports are projected to reach a record high of 64.6 billion RMB in 2025, marking a nearly 36% increase from the previous year, driven by global shortages and rising prices in the power equipment market [1] - The average export price per transformer has risen to 205,000 RMB, reflecting a one-third increase year-on-year, amidst significant global demand for transformer infrastructure [1] - The global investment in power grids is expected to exceed 480 billion USD in 2024, with strong growth momentum anticipated in the coming years [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The demand surge for transformers is primarily driven by the modernization of aging power grids and a global boom in data center construction, with the global data center market projected to grow from 242.72 billion USD in 2024 to 584.86 billion USD by 2032 [4] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that the delivery cycle for power transformers will remain high through 2025, with the U.S. expected to face a 30% supply shortfall in transformer demand [5][6] - The price index for global power transformers has increased 1.5 times since 2020, with some complex models reaching prices 2.6 times higher than pre-pandemic levels [5][6] Group 2: Supply Chain and Investment - China's transformer exports account for one-quarter of the global market, with significant reliance from Europe and the U.S. on imports due to severe shortages [10] - The State Grid of China has announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion RMB during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, aimed at building a new power system [10] - China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kWh by 2025, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth, which will further support domestic demand for transformers [10]