金价跌破3900美元，未来会是什么走势？

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have recently fallen below key psychological and technical support levels, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potential selling pressure from investors [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movements - As of October 28, international gold prices dropped to $3901.3 per ounce on COMEX, with a maximum decline of 2.95%, while London spot gold fell to $3886.199 per ounce, with a maximum decline of 2.4% [1]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also seen significant reductions, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang lowering their prices to 1198 RMB per gram and 1199 RMB per gram, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 25 RMB and 24 RMB per gram from the previous day [1]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The decline in gold prices is attributed to three main factors: easing trade tensions among major economies, increased technical selling due to profit-taking after a rapid price increase, and the market's full digestion of Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations [1][2]. - The breach of the $4000 mark is seen as a critical psychological threshold that could trigger algorithmic selling, further exacerbating the downward trend and affecting investor confidence [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Despite the current downward pressure on gold prices, the situation differs from historical long-term bear markets, as factors such as a potentially weaker dollar, ongoing global liquidity expansion, central bank gold purchases, geopolitical risks, and inflation expectations may support gold prices in the long run [4]. - After the short-term pressure is released, there is potential for gold prices to stabilize and consolidate [4].