Core Viewpoint - Altria Group, Inc. is set to report its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, with expected revenues of $5.32 billion, reflecting a 0.4% decline year-over-year, while earnings per share are projected to grow by 4.4% to $1.44 [1][5] Earnings Performance - Altria has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 3.3%, with the last quarter's earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.1% [2] - The current Zacks Rank for Altria is 2 (Buy), but it has an Earnings ESP of -0.04%, indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [3][4] Factors Influencing Q3 Earnings - Strong pricing power, disciplined cost management, and momentum in smoke-free initiatives are expected to drive Q3 results [5] - Volume softness in traditional cigarettes is noted due to inflationary pressures, but robust pricing actions and strategic portfolio management are anticipated to offset this weakness [5] Key Growth Drivers - The high-margin oral tobacco business, particularly the growth of on! nicotine pouches, is a significant contributor to earnings resilience [6] - Continued consumer engagement through marketing efforts is expected to enhance brand equity and repeat usage [6][8] Stock Performance - Over the past three months, Altria's stock has increased by 7.4%, outperforming the Zacks Tobacco industry's breakeven performance and the Consumer Staples sector's decline of 3.6% [7] - Compared to competitors, Altria has outperformed Philip Morris International and British American Tobacco, while underperforming Turning Point Brands [7] Valuation Analysis - Altria shares are trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.49, below the industry average of 14.49, indicating compelling value for investors [9] - The valuation gap is notable when compared to competitors, with Philip Morris at 18.66 and Turning Point Brands at 23.94 [11] Investment Outlook - Altria's strong pricing strategies and expansion of smoke-free products, particularly on! nicotine pouches, position the company as an attractive investment option [12] - With steady earnings growth and solid cash flow, Altria is viewed as a reliable choice for stability and long-term returns in the consumer staples sector [12]
Should You Consider Buying Altria Stock Before Q3 Earnings Release?