Molson Coors(US:TAP) ZACKS·2025-10-28 15:02Core Viewpoint - Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Molson Coors' quarterly earnings is $1.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.4%. Revenues are projected to be $3.03 billion, down 0.4% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.84% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Molson Coors is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.53%. This suggests a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Molson Coors was expected to post earnings of $1.83 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $2.05, resulting in a surprise of +12.02%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock price movements, as other factors can influence investor sentiment. Stocks may decline despite an earnings beat or rise despite a miss due to unforeseen catalysts [15]. - It is suggested that focusing on stocks expected to beat earnings expectations can enhance investment success, highlighting the importance of monitoring Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank prior to earnings releases [16].