Does COIN Stock Deserve a Spot in Your Portfolio Ahead of Q3 Earnings?

Core Insights - Coinbase Global (COIN) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, with revenues estimated at $1.7 billion, reflecting a 44.1% year-over-year increase [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.06 per share, indicating a 71% increase from the previous year [1][2] - The earnings surprise history shows COIN has beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 310.23% [2] Financial Estimates - Current quarter earnings estimate is $1.06 per share, unchanged from the previous week, but up from $1.01 a month ago [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for trading volume is 299 million, representing a 61.6% increase year-over-year [5] - Transaction revenues are estimated at $939 million, indicating a 63.9% increase from the prior year [8] - Subscription and services revenues are projected to be between $665 million and $745 million, with a consensus estimate of $712 million [9] Performance Drivers - Increased volatility in crypto markets is expected to drive higher trading volumes and revenues [5][6] - The addition of Deribit is anticipated to enhance revenue streams and attract institutional investors [7] - Growth in stablecoin adoption and international expansion are likely to support COIN's trading fees and overall revenue [7][17] Cost Management - COIN expects sales and marketing expenses to range between $190 million and $290 million due to increased digital marketing spending [10] - Technology and development expenses are projected to be between $800 million and $850 million, driven by higher headcount [11] - The company is focused on operational efficiency and disciplined cost control to enhance profit margins [19] Market Positioning - Coinbase is positioned to benefit from increased crypto asset volatility and rising prices, with a strategy to expand its market share in both U.S. spot and derivatives markets [17][20] - The company aims to establish itself as a comprehensive exchange for various crypto assets, supported by acquisitions and product diversification [18] - Despite a premium valuation, the company maintains a relatively strong debt position and improving liquidity [19][21]