LB Group(SZ:002601) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-29 00:38Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to falling titanium dioxide prices and low industry demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.87% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring items was 1.618 billion yuan, down 35.97% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 6.109 billion yuan, a decline of 13.73% year-on-year and 2.76% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The net profit for Q3 was 272 million yuan, a significant drop of 68.12% year-on-year [1]. Industry Analysis - The decline in Longbai Group's performance is attributed to a decrease in titanium dioxide prices, with the average price for the first three quarters of 2025 at 14,120.02 yuan/ton, down 11.01% year-on-year [2]. - Q3 2025 saw an average price of 13,386.09 yuan/ton, reflecting a 13.10% year-on-year decrease and an 8.26% quarter-on-quarter decline [2]. - National production of titanium dioxide for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.3651 million tons, down 3.48% year-on-year [2]. - Q3 production was 1.06 million tons, a decrease of 9.61% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin in Q3 was -1,317.96 yuan/ton, a decline of 181.51% year-on-year [2]. Shareholder Returns - The board proposed a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 237.08 million yuan, to enhance shareholder returns [3]. Strategic Moves - Longbai Group's subsidiary, Bailian Europe, plans to acquire assets related to titanium dioxide from Venator UK for 69.9 million USD, indicating a strategic move towards global expansion [3][4]. - The acquisition includes land, buildings, machinery, and inventory, with an estimated tax liability of about 14.19 million USD [3]. Earnings Forecast - Due to the downturn in the titanium dioxide industry, the company's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 26.504 billion, 29.329 billion, and 29.609 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.946 billion, 2.609 billion, and 3.317 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 1.09, and 1.39 yuan per share [5]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating a potential recovery in profitability due to capacity expansion and overseas acquisitions [5].