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10月28日中午,利率债部分回吐,基金单日爆蛋81个
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-29 03:51

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing significant volatility, with a notable divergence between interest rate bonds and credit bonds, driven by recent central bank actions and market sentiment [3][5][10]. Group 1: Market Reactions - A pure bond fund heavily invested in 30-year government bonds is projected to face a loss of 53-81 basis points, a stark contrast to typical daily fluctuations [1]. - The 10-year government bond yield saw a slight recovery of 1 basis point after a drop, but overall, it has decreased by 3 basis points over two days, raising questions about the market's optimistic sentiment despite some pullback [3][5]. - The central bank's announcement on October 27 to restart government bond trading has altered market dynamics significantly, likened to turning on a water faucet for a thirsty person [3][7]. Group 2: Institutional Divergence - There is a clear divide in institutional strategies, with fund companies favoring long-duration interest rate bonds while banks and insurance firms focus on credit bonds for yield [9][15]. - The bond market has seen a substantial increase in trading volume, with both interest rate and credit bonds experiencing a rise in transaction numbers, indicating a flow of capital into the bond market [9][17]. Group 3: Central Bank Operations - The central bank's dual approach of restarting government bond trading and conducting a 900 billion yuan MLF operation is reminiscent of quantitative easing strategies used by foreign central banks [7][10]. - Market participants are closely monitoring the central bank's actions, with a strong expectation of continued monetary easing reflected in the performance of long-duration interest rate bonds [10][15]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Liquidity - The bond market's volatility has decreased post-lunch, transitioning from excitement to a more rational outlook, with discussions around potential pricing distortions due to ongoing central bank purchases [12][15]. - There is a noticeable liquidity stratification in the bond market, where large institutions can access funds easily, while smaller non-bank entities face higher financing costs, creating a structural imbalance [15].