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李宁(02331.HK):外部环境扰动仍在 静待体育资源助力中长期发展
Ge Long Hui·2025-10-29 05:13

Core Insights - The company reported a decline in retail sales for the Li Ning brand (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) in Q3 2025, with offline channels experiencing significant drops due to external factors, while online channels maintained high single-digit growth [1] - The company is actively expanding its offline presence, with a net increase of 33 stores in Q3 2025, totaling 6,132 stores for the Li Ning brand [1] - The signing of player Yang Hansheng, who was selected in the first round of the NBA draft, is expected to boost sales of related products and improve the overall market for basketball in China [2] - The company maintains a strong position in the sports apparel sector, focusing on a "single brand, multiple categories, and multiple channels" strategy, with projected net profits of 2.645 billion, 2.843 billion, and 3.101 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [2] Summary by Category Sales Performance - In Q3 2025, the Li Ning brand's retail sales saw a mid-single-digit decline, with offline channels (including retail and wholesale) experiencing high single-digit declines, while online retail sales recorded high single-digit growth [1] Store Expansion - As of September 30, 2025, the Li Ning brand had 6,132 offline stores, with a net increase of 33 stores from the previous quarter, and a total of 1,480 stores for Li Ning YOUNG, reflecting a proactive approach to offline channel expansion [1] Strategic Developments - The recent signing of Yang Hansheng, who was drafted into the NBA, is anticipated to enhance brand visibility and sales of basketball-related products, potentially improving the overall market for basketball in China [2] Financial Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.645 billion yuan in 2025, 2.843 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.101 billion yuan in 2027, supported by its strong brand position and ongoing investment in product development [2]