节能国祯(300388)：经营现金流增长32% 首次年中分红

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a solid performance in Q3 with revenue of 880 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.76% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.07%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.4 million yuan, up 12.27% year-on-year but down 35.15% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 880 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.76% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.07% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 73.4 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.27% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 35.15% [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 2.517 billion yuan, down 7.79% year-on-year, with net profit of 254 million yuan, a decrease of 1.50% year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters increased by 32.27% year-on-year, amounting to 363 million yuan [1] Business Development - The company is advancing its overseas business through partnerships, notably with Zhongdi Overseas Group, and has signed contracts for multiple projects in Ethiopia [2] - In Norway, the wholly-owned subsidiary BIOVAC generated revenue of 46.87 million yuan and a net profit of 1.16 million yuan in the first half of the year [2] Shareholder Returns - The company announced its first-ever interim dividend, distributing 0.065 yuan per share, which accounts for 17.40% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters [3] - Anhui Ecology, holding 17.18% of the company's shares, plans to increase its stake by at least 2% within six months, indicating confidence in the company's long-term value [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to market saturation in the water and environmental engineering sectors, the company has revised down its revenue forecasts, projecting net profits of 368 million, 378 million, and 390 million yuan for 2025-2027, with downward adjustments of 4%, 6%, and 8% respectively [4] - The target price for the company is set at 10.02 yuan, based on a PE ratio of 17.9 for 2026, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 7.95 yuan [4]