DLS外汇：澳元兑美元在美联储会议前突破 上涨空间即将扩大？

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) has broken through the 0.65325 level against the US dollar (USD), indicating a bullish trend ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut [1][4][19] Group 1: Fundamental Drivers - The market has largely priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to a weaker USD and a stronger AUD [4][5] - Australia's third-quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and stabilized at 3.2% year-on-year, supporting the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to maintain interest rates [4][5] - The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed's easing stance and the RBA's stability enhances the attractiveness of the AUD relative to other major currencies [5][19] Group 2: Market Structure and Technical Analysis - The breakout above 0.65325 marks a transition from an accumulation phase to an expansion phase, characterized by increased liquidity and strong upward momentum [6][19] - The daily fair value gap (FVG) between 0.6559 and 0.6578 serves as a potential re-entry area for traders, with the next liquidity targets set at 0.6628 and 0.6700 [8][10] - If the price retraces to the FVG area and shows signs of support, it is expected to attract liquidity and continue the upward trend [10][19] Group 3: Trading Strategy - Traders are advised to wait for a price pullback to the daily FVG area before entering positions, with a target entry range of 0.6560 to 0.6575 [13][16] - A stop-loss should be placed below 0.6530 to maintain a bullish structure, while the primary targets for profit-taking are set at 0.66285 and 0.6700 [17][19] - The current market structure reflects a classic "smart money" cycle, indicating that institutional investors are likely to re-enter the market after a period of rebalancing [19][20]