中美两大经济体贸易谈判前黄金避险削弱,美联储能否扭转跌势?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-29 10:20

Group 1 - The spot gold price has dropped nearly $500 from its historical high in just seven trading days, reaching a low of $3886.80 per ounce, the lowest level since October 6, and closing at $3952.54 per ounce as of October 28 [1] - The largest gold ETF's holdings remain unchanged at 1038.92 tons compared to the previous trading day [1] - Optimism surrounding a potential trade agreement framework between the US and China has weakened gold's appeal as a traditional safe-haven asset [1] Group 2 - The market is focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision, with a nearly certain expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the second cut since September [1] - The focus will shift to Chairman Powell's speech following the rate cut announcement [1] Group 3 - From a technical perspective, the 15-minute chart indicates a break of the downtrend line, with MACD showing a bullish crossover, suggesting a potential upward trend [3] - The key timeframe to watch is the 4-hour chart, where MACD remains below zero, indicating a continued bearish outlook despite the short-term bullish signals [3] - The daily chart also shows a bullish trend, with MACD approaching the zero line, indicating a potential shift in momentum [3]