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11 月最高法院定 “生死”!关税退款900亿,美国消费者默默扛成本
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-29 10:27

Group 1 - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to rule on the legality of high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which could result in the return of $90 billion in tariffs already collected and a significant reduction in future tariff revenue [1][9] - Tariff revenue for the fiscal year 2025 is projected to reach $195 billion, more than tripling previous amounts, with monthly collections increasing from $7 billion in January to $30 billion by September [3][5] - The Trump administration utilized the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose a 10% global tariff on all imports, with higher tariffs on specific countries and goods, claiming it would benefit U.S. manufacturing without relying on income tax [5][11] Group 2 - While tariffs have temporarily boosted government revenue and protected certain industries, high tariffs can disrupt normal trade and lead to a lack of innovation and cost control within domestic industries [7][16] - The U.S. Trade Court has ruled that most new tariffs imposed under the current law are illegal, with the federal appeals court supporting this decision, awaiting the Supreme Court's final ruling [9][11] - The tariffs have led to global trade instability, prompting other economies to pursue bilateral trade agreements, which may weaken the U.S.'s bargaining power in global trade [13][16] Group 3 - The justification for tariffs as a means to protect national security has been questioned, particularly regarding their effectiveness in combating illegal drug trafficking [15] - Ultimately, the burden of tariffs falls on U.S. consumers, as importers typically pass on the costs, potentially leading to increased domestic inflation [15][16] - Relying on tariffs for government revenue may provide short-term financial benefits but risks long-term economic vitality and exacerbates tensions between domestic consumption and foreign trade [16]