京津冀养老服务研究报告：“离京不离家”跨城养老模式正在形成

Core Insights - The report highlights the emerging trend of cross-city elderly care in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, with over 20,000 elderly residents from Beijing and more than 3,000 from Tianjin relocating to Langfang for care services by November 2024 [1][15] Group 1: Aging Population Statistics - By the end of 2024, the elderly population (aged 60 and above) in Beijing is expected to exceed 5 million, while Tianjin will have 3.53 million, indicating a significant aging demographic in the region [1] - The aging rate in Hebei exceeds the national average, with 1 in 7 people in the 130 million population of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei being elderly [1] - The aging rates in cities like Zhangjiakou (21.15%) indicate a deep aging society, while Beijing and Langfang have relatively lower rates of 15.87% and 13.64% respectively [2] Group 2: Elderly Care Infrastructure - The average supply level coefficient for elderly care beds in the region is 93.9%, close to the national average, with cities like Beijing and Tianjin exceeding the national average of 23.86 beds per 1,000 elderly [5][6] - Beijing has 110,000 beds, Tianjin has 58,600 beds, and Hebei cities have between 10,000 to 37,000 beds, indicating a solid hardware foundation for elderly care services [6] Group 3: Institutional Care Penetration - The penetration rate of institutional elderly care in the region is low, generally between 1% and 2%, with over 98% of elderly relying on home or community care [8] - Beijing leads with a higher bed supply per 1,000 elderly at 31.72 beds, significantly above the national average [9] Group 4: Economic Factors and Consumer Behavior - The average monthly income of elderly residents in Beijing is 5,951 yuan, over 1.5 times that of elderly residents in Hebei, indicating stronger purchasing power in the silver economy [9] - The elderly care service pricing in Beijing ranges from 6,000 yuan for low-end services to 14,000 yuan for high-end services, which may exceed the financial capabilities of many elderly residents [14] Group 5: Supply and Demand Imbalance - The overall occupancy rate of elderly care facilities in the region is below 50%, indicating a structural mismatch between supply and demand [11] - The current focus on institutional care over community services has led to a lack of adequate community care options, leaving many elderly individuals without suitable care solutions [10][14] Group 6: Regional Collaboration and Policy Support - The "leaving Beijing but not leaving home" model is gaining traction, supported by policies that facilitate elderly care across city borders, such as subsidies for Beijing residents in specific Hebei institutions [15][16] - Collaborative efforts among the three regions aim to enhance service standards and improve the overall elderly care framework, addressing the challenges of aging populations [15][16]