新京智库《2025京津冀养老服务研究报告（现状篇）》发布

Core Insights - The aging population in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (Jing-Jin-Ji) region is a pressing issue, with significant implications for the construction of a comprehensive elderly care service system [1][11][12] - The region's elderly population is projected to exceed 514 million in Beijing and 353 million in Tianjin by the end of 2024, highlighting the urgent need for effective elderly care solutions [1][11] - The report emphasizes the necessity for collaborative development of elderly care services in the Jing-Jin-Ji region to address supply-demand mismatches and enhance regional quality of life [2][12] Summary by Sections Section 1: Current State of Elderly Care Services Supply - The supply of elderly care beds in the Jing-Jin-Ji region shows a "dual-core and multi-point distribution" pattern, with Beijing leading with 110,034 beds and Tianjin with 58,637 beds [24][25] - The average number of beds per 1,000 elderly people varies significantly, with Beijing at 31.72 beds, while cities like Cangzhou and Qinhuangdao lag behind with 12.81 and 16.23 beds respectively [29][30] - The overall occupancy rate of elderly care facilities is low, with many cities below the reasonable range of 60%-80%, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand [34][38] Section 2: Price Structure of Elderly Care Services - The price structure of elderly care services in the region is clearly tiered, with low-end facilities averaging around 6,000 yuan/month, mid-range at 9,000 yuan/month, and high-end at 14,000 yuan/month [39][41] - High-end elderly care services are generally unaffordable for average families, with price-to-income ratios exceeding 100% in cities like Qinhuangdao and Tangshan [43][44] - The affordability of mid-range services also poses challenges, as their price-to-income ratios often exceed 70%, indicating a heavy financial burden on families [44] Section 3: Quality of Care and Medical Resource Allocation - Beijing has a significant advantage in medical resource allocation, with 6.98 registered nurses per 1,000 people, compared to 3.1-4.2 in Hebei cities [54][55] - The number of star-rated elderly care institutions is highest in Beijing (417), followed by Tangshan (252) and Shijiazhuang (244), indicating a disparity in service quality across the region [60] - Community elderly care service stations are unevenly distributed, with a need for improved coverage to meet the goal of a "15-minute elderly care service circle" [62][65] Section 4: Policy and Development Recommendations - The report suggests that the collaborative development of elderly care services is essential for addressing regional supply-demand contradictions and promoting high-quality regional development [2][12] - It highlights the importance of optimizing the price structure and improving service quality to enhance the overall effectiveness of elderly care services in the Jing-Jin-Ji region [20][22]