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公募单季盈利首破2万亿,4000点关口有何调仓伏笔?
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun·2025-10-29 12:40

Core Insights - The public fund industry has achieved a record profit of over 2 trillion yuan in Q3, marking a historical peak for a single quarter [2][3] - Active equity products have shown a strong comeback, with the profit gap between active and passive index products narrowing significantly, indicating a more balanced market driving pattern [1][3] Group 1: Fund Performance - In Q3, the total profit of public funds reached 2.08 trillion yuan, a more than fourfold increase from the previous quarter's 385.67 billion yuan and over 80% growth compared to the same period last year [2][3] - The industry has now recorded profits for seven consecutive quarters, with cumulative profits for the year reaching 2.72 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous record of nearly 2 trillion yuan in 2020 [3][4] Group 2: Product Performance - Equity products, which are most correlated with the stock market, contributed significantly to profits, with Q3 profits amounting to 1.84 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 90% of the industry's total profit [3][4] - Active equity products reported cumulative profits of 1.07 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a fivefold increase year-on-year, while passive index products made 1.09 trillion yuan, a 140% increase [4] Group 3: Stock Holdings - By the end of Q3, public funds held a total of 3,108 stocks, a decrease of 49 from the previous quarter, indicating a slight increase in holding concentration [6] - Notable changes in major holdings included an increase in the number of funds holding Ningde Times, while Guizhou Moutai saw a decrease in holdings [7][8] Group 4: Market Outlook - The A-share market is experiencing a slow bull trend, with key sectors including the AI industry chain and sectors benefiting from domestic policies expected to drive future market performance [10][11] - Fund managers are optimistic about the market's recovery, with a focus on undervalued stocks and sectors that may benefit from economic improvements [11][12]