美联储决议前瞻：市场焦点放在鲍威尔新闻发布会上

Core Viewpoint - The market widely anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, adjusting the policy rate to 3.75-4.00% [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The central bank is expected to announce the end of quantitative tightening (QT) [1] - The upcoming meeting will not include a quarterly economic projections report, shifting focus to Chairman Powell's press conference [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - Current market expectations indicate a high certainty of a rate cut in October, with a nearly 100% probability for a December cut as well [1] - Cumulative rate cuts of 117 basis points are projected by 2026, exceeding the Federal Reserve's own forecast of 75 basis points [1]