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卫宁健康(300253):四季度收入有望恢复增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to project delays and cost pressures, but maintains a positive long-term outlook based on its competitive advantages in the medical IT industry [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.296 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -241 million yuan, down 256.10% [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 457 million yuan, a decline of 33.78%, with a net profit of -123 million yuan, down 199.16% [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 29.07%, a decrease of 11.97 percentage points, attributed to increased implementation costs from project delays [2]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters was -11 million yuan, showing significant improvement compared to -104 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. Business Segments - The medical health informationization business generated revenue of 1.191 billion yuan, down 25.71%, with core software sales and technical services at 1.098 billion yuan, down 22.78% [3]. - The internet healthcare business saw revenue drop to 105 million yuan, a decline of 66.24% [3]. Product Development - The WiNEX 2025 version upgrade enhances the core system for digital hospitals, adding over 2,500 optimized features, with AI capabilities accounting for 15% [4]. - The company aims to streamline user habits and business processes, reducing implementation time by 50% and total cost of ownership (TCO) by approximately 20% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards to 20 million yuan, 331 million yuan, and 502 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 95.29%, 38.96%, and 27.37% respectively [5]. - The target price is set at 10.46 yuan, based on a 70.0 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, down from a previous value of 14.34 yuan [5].