Micron Technology Stock Rally Brings Risk

Core Insights - Micron Technology (MU) stock has increased by 35.5% over the past 21 trading days, primarily due to heightened demand for high-bandwidth memory driven by AI data center expansions [1] - SK Hynix has forecasted a "super cycle" in memory demand, further boosting optimism for Micron's prospects [1] Company Overview - Micron Technology is a $249 billion company with $37 billion in revenue, currently trading at $221.91 [7] - The company has experienced a revenue growth of 48.9% over the last 12 months and maintains an operating margin of 26.2% [7] - Micron's debt to equity ratio stands at 0.06, and its cash to assets ratio is 0.12, indicating strong liquidity [7] Stock Performance - The stock has historically shown significant volatility, dropping 49.8% from a peak of $97.36 in January 2022 to $48.88 in September 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% during the same period [8] - Despite these declines, MU stock fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by March 2024 and reached a high of $221.91 by October 2025 [8] - The stock has a P/E multiple of 29.2 and a P/EBIT multiple of 24.6, suggesting it is currently fairly priced [7] Market Context - The current market sentiment is influenced by the anticipated demand for memory products due to AI advancements, with Micron positioned to benefit from this trend [1] - Historical performance indicates that Micron has underperformed the S&P 500 during economic downturns, raising questions about its resilience in worst-case scenarios [2][9]