Core Insights - Starbucks is expected to report adjusted earnings per share of $0.55 on revenue of $9.34 billion for its fiscal fourth quarter, indicating a 31% decline in adjusted earnings and a 2.6% rise in sales year-over-year [1] - Analysts predict no growth in US same-store sales, while a modest increase of 2.2% is anticipated in China [2] - The company is undergoing a $1 billion restructuring effort, which includes closing unprofitable locations and eliminating 900 non-retail jobs [3] Financial Performance - The expected adjusted earnings per share of $0.55 represents a significant decline compared to the previous year [1] - Revenue expectations of $9.34 billion reflect a slight increase in sales, contrasting with the decline in earnings [1] - Year-to-date, Starbucks stock has decreased by over 7%, while the S&P 500 has increased by more than 17% [2] Sales Trends - US same-store sales are projected to drop by 1.9% for the full year, with a 0.5% decline expected in China [2] - Visitation trends have not shown improvement in the current quarter, which may impact sales performance [4] - Recovery in same-store sales, particularly during the holiday season, is deemed crucial for the company's near-term share price performance [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a restructuring plan that includes closing unprofitable locations and cutting corporate jobs [3] - The return of popular seasonal products, such as the pumpkin spice latte, has not generated significant excitement among investors [3]
Starbucks to report earnings as investors eye progress on turnaround efforts